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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1918134
電力系統改造市場-2026-2031年預測Re-Powering Market - Forecast from 2026 to 2031 |
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預計在預測期(2026-2031 年)內,電力系統改造市場將以 5.16% 的複合年成長率成長。
由於電力需求不斷成長、基礎設施老化以及環境法規日益嚴格,電廠改造市場正經歷穩定成長。電廠改造是指對長期運作的電廠維修或現代化改造,包括更換老舊設備、採用更有效率的技術以及提升整體性能和改善環境影響。多種運作目標和效益的匯聚、技術的進步以及對可再生能源需求的不斷成長,共同推動了市場的發展勢頭。
主要市場促進因素
重新改造的策略優勢
眾多改造升級目標透過提昇系統整體性能推動市場成長。利用現代化設備和技術升級老舊電廠,可提高能源轉換效率,在相同發電量下降低燃料和資源消耗。改造升級還能減少溫室氣體和污染物排放,有助於環境保護並滿足日益嚴格的環境法規要求。此外,電廠升級還能提高電網的穩定性和柔軟性,使其能適應能源供需的波動。隨著具有波動性發電模式的再生能源來源市場佔有率不斷成長,這一點變得愈發重要。
技術創新
隨著更有效率的新技術不斷湧現,老舊的發電設施逐漸過時,失去競爭力。改造升級使電廠營運商能夠整合先進技術,例如改進型渦輪機、控制系統和儲能解決方案,從而提高整體效率和性能。新型渦輪機設計,例如聯合循環燃氣渦輪機、先進蒸氣渦輪和高效發電機,具有更高的能量轉換效率,使電廠能夠利用相同的投入資源生產更多電力。在生質能和廢棄物發電改造計劃中,先進的氣化和熱解技術能夠更有效率地將有機物轉化為能量,在提高經濟效益的同時,減少廢棄物和排放。
可再生能源併網
全球向太陽能、風能和水力發電等再生能源來源的轉型正在推動現有石化燃料發電廠的改造需求。將這些電廠改造或維修為可再生能源發電,有助於向更永續的能源結構轉型,加速改造市場的發展。 2020年,可再生能源的使用量增加了3%,而對其他燃料的需求則有所下降。全球發電量中可再生能源的比例從2019年的27%上升到2020年的29%,顯示轉型正在加速,這為營運商在尋求轉向更清潔的發電方式的同時保持資產價值創造了改造機遇。
電力需求成長
電力需求的成長是能源和發電產業改造計畫的關鍵促進因素。隨著人口成長、經濟擴張和技術普及,電力需求正在穩步上升。預計到2022年,美國的能源消耗量將達到約4.5兆度。
更新老化的基礎設施
世界各地許多發電廠的運作已接近尾聲。改造升級為延長資產使用壽命、延後新建電廠所需的大規模資本投資提供了機會。在美國,2011年至2020年間,超過100座燃煤發電廠被替換。替換老舊電廠可帶來顯著效益。牛津大學2022年12月發表的一項研究發現,將馬哈拉斯特拉邦一些最老舊、高成本最高的燃煤發電廠改造為清潔能源和電網穩定服務設施,可節省570億盧比,這表明戰略性改造升級比徹底更換整個電廠更具經濟優勢。
環境監管壓力
嚴格的環境法規旨在促進溫室排放減量和永續發展,是推動能源改造市場發展的關鍵因素。將老舊、高排放的發電廠改造為更清潔、更有效率的技術,有助於企業遵守環境標準。 2022 年《通貨膨脹控制法案》撥款 3,690 億美元用於各項與氣候變遷相關的措施,例如為建造太陽能住宅的美國提供稅收優惠,以及支持企業購買碳捕獲和儲存系統。 2021 年 7 月,歐盟委員會提案了「2030 年氣候目標一攬子計畫」(Fit for 55 Package),這是一套旨在使歐盟政策與 2030 年氣候目標保持一致的綜合立法提案。
市場限制因素
雖然電廠改造具有許多優勢,但也存在一些挑戰可能會阻礙或延緩其推廣應用。電廠改造通常需要大量的初期投入,尤其是在現有電廠維修升級,採用先進技術時。高額的初始投資可能會讓電廠營運商望而卻步,特別是那些面臨財務困境的營運商。此外,電廠改造通常涉及現有基礎設施的改造升級,這會帶來與資產可靠性、性能和營運挑戰相關的新風險和不確定性,這些都必須謹慎管理。
區域趨勢
預計在整個預測期內,歐洲將保持顯著的市場佔有率,這主要得益於不斷成長的電力需求、容量升級和互聯互通的需求,以及政府主導的各項舉措。 2022年5月,歐盟宣布了「REpowerEU」計劃,旨在實現能源供應多元化並生產清潔能源。預計2030年,歐洲的連網容量將成長四倍,進而緩解電力市場堵塞,促進電力經濟交換,進而提升社會和經濟福祉。
由於技術進步、監管要求以及全球能源向永續能源轉型,改造市場不斷發展演變。
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The re-powering market is anticipated to grow at a 5.16% CAGR during the forecast period (2026-2031).
The re-powering market is experiencing steady growth driven by increasing electricity demand, aging infrastructure, and stricter environmental regulations. Re-powering-the refurbishment or modernization of power plants that have been in operation for considerable periods-involves replacing outdated equipment, adopting more efficient technologies, and improving overall performance and environmental impact. The convergence of multiple re-powering objectives and benefits, technological advancements, and increasing renewable energy demand is propelling market momentum.
Primary Market Drivers
Strategic Advantages of Re-Powering
Numerous re-powering objectives enhance overall system performance, propelling market growth. Upgrading older power plants with modern equipment and technologies leads to higher energy conversion efficiency, reducing fuel or resource consumption for equivalent output. Re-powering can reduce greenhouse gas and pollutant emissions, contributing to environmental protection and compliance with stricter environmental regulations. Additionally, upgrading power plants enhances grid stability and flexibility, helping accommodate fluctuations in energy demand and supply-increasingly critical as renewable energy sources with variable generation patterns gain market share.
Technological Innovation
As new and more efficient technologies emerge, older power generation facilities become outdated and less competitive. Re-powering allows power plant operators to integrate advanced technologies-including improved turbines, control systems, and energy storage solutions-enhancing overall efficiency and performance. Newer turbine designs such as combined cycle gas turbines, advanced steam turbines, and high-efficiency generators offer higher energy conversion efficiency, enabling power plants to produce more electricity using identical input resources. For biomass and waste-to-energy re-powering projects, advanced gasification and pyrolysis technologies enable more efficient conversion of organic materials into energy, reducing waste and emissions while improving economic viability.
Renewable Energy Integration
The global shift toward renewable energy sources including solar, wind, and hydropower has driven the need for re-powering existing fossil fuel-based power plants. Converting or retrofitting these plants to generate electricity from renewable sources supports transition to more sustainable energy mixes, accelerating the re-powering market. In 2020, renewable energy usage grew 3% while demand for all other fuels declined. The percentage of renewable energy in global electrical generation increased from 27% in 2019 to 29% in 2020, demonstrating the accelerating transition that creates re-powering opportunities as operators seek to maintain asset value while transitioning to cleaner generation sources.
Electricity Demand Growth
Increasing electricity demand represents a crucial driver for re-powering initiatives in the energy and power generation sector. As populations grow, economies expand, and technology becomes more prevalent, electricity demand rises steadily. In the United States, energy utilized in 2022 reached approximately 4.05 trillion kWh-a record-high number representing 14 times more than electricity use in 1950. Total energy used for end uses in the U.S. increased by 2.6% in 2022 compared to 2021, demonstrating sustained demand growth requiring both new capacity and efficiency improvements to existing facilities.
Aging Infrastructure Modernization
Many power plants globally are approaching operational lifespan ends. Re-powering provides opportunities to extend useful facility life, postponing the need for massive capital investments in brand-new power plants. More than 100 coal fire plants were replaced in the U.S. between 2011 and 2020. The benefits of replacing old plants are substantial. A University of Oxford study published in December 2022 found that repurposing some of Maharashtra's oldest and most expensive coal plants for clean energy and grid stability services can result in savings of Rs. 5700 crores, demonstrating the economic advantages of strategic re-powering versus complete facility replacement.
Environmental Regulatory Pressure
Stricter environmental regulations aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions and promoting sustainable practices represent significant drivers for the re-powering market. Converting older, high-emission power plants to cleaner and more efficient technologies helps companies comply with environmental standards. The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 allotted 369 billion dollars to various climate-change-related initiatives, including tax breaks for Americans building homes with solar panels and businesses buying carbon capture and storage systems. In July 2021, the European Commission proposed the Fit for 55 Package-a comprehensive set of legislative proposals aligning EU policies with 2030 climate targets.
Market Constraints
While re-powering offers numerous benefits, several challenges can hinder or slow adoption. Re-powering often involves significant upfront costs, especially when retrofitting and upgrading existing power plants with advanced technologies. High initial investments can deter some power plant operators, especially those facing financial constraints. Additionally, re-powering often involves modifying and upgrading existing infrastructure, introducing new risks and uncertainties related to equipment reliability, performance, and operational challenges that require careful management.
Regional Dynamics
Europe is expected to hold significant market share during the forecast period, supported by increasing electricity demand, the need for upgrading and interconnecting capacity, and government initiatives. The REpowerEU plan was launched by the EU in May 2022 to diversify energy supplies and produce clean energy. Europe's interconnection capacity should quadruple by 2030 to promote social and economic wellbeing, defined as the capability to lessen congestion between electrical markets to exchange power economically.
The re-powering market continues evolving, driven by technological advancement, regulatory imperatives, and the global energy transition toward sustainable generation sources.
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