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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1824153
全球生質燃料市場:2025-2030 年預測Global Biofuel Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
全球生質燃料市場預計將從 2025 年的 2,247 億美元成長到 2030 年的 3,187.19 億美元,複合年成長率為 7.24%。
受清潔能源需求不斷成長、政府對脫硫的嚴格監管以及財政激勵措施的推動,全球生質燃料市場有望顯著成長。包括乙醇和生質柴油在內的生質燃料作為石化燃料的永續替代品,正日益受到歡迎。根據美國環保署的評估,與柴油相比,生物燃料可減少10%的粒狀物和11%的一氧化碳排放。全球可再生能源強制令和石化燃料蘊藏量的枯竭推動了生物燃料市場的轉型,推動了市場向生質燃料的轉變。
市場促進因素
對清潔燃料和脫硫法規的需求
對清潔能源來源的需求以及政府日益嚴格的石油產品脫硫法規是生質燃料市場的主要驅動力。生質燃料能夠顯著減少空氣污染,從而與全球應對氣候變遷和滿足環境標準的努力一致。世界各國政府正在實施減少溫室氣體排放的政策,並推廣生質燃料作為石化燃料的可行替代品。這些法規,加上消費者對永續能源的需求,正在刺激交通運輸和能源領域對生質燃料的採用,從而推動市場成長。
財政獎勵和政府支持
政府支持政策和財政獎勵正在加速生質燃料市場的擴張。例如,美國能源部於2022年12月推出一項30%的替代燃料基礎設施稅額扣抵,適用於使用E85等生質燃料以及生物柴油含量20%或以上的柴油混合物的燃料供應基礎設施。同樣,加拿大計畫從2022年4月起將碳排放稅從每噸排放10加元排放到50加元,獎勵採用低排放生質燃料。這些政策以及補貼和資助項目正在使生質燃料生產和基礎設施建設更具經濟效益。
全球可再生能源義務
世界各國正在製定雄心勃勃的可再生能源目標,推動對生質燃料的需求。例如,印度國家轉型委員會(NITI Aayog)的一份報告規定,到2025年,汽油中乙醇的摻混比例必須達到20%,而印尼則預計從2023年開始,生物柴油的摻混比例將達到35%。這些摻混要求,加上降低乙醇進口關稅的努力(例如巴西在2022年採取的措施),正在推動生質燃料的消費。這些政策強調了全球對永續能源的承諾,並將生質燃料定位為能源轉型的關鍵組成部分。
地理視角
美國市場領導地位
美國憑藉其強大的生產能力和扶持政策,在全球生質燃料市場佔據主導地位。美國能源資訊署預測,在現有和提案計劃的支持下,到2024年底,可再生柴油產量將達到每年51億加侖。除了交通運輸和能源產業對生質燃料的依賴日益增加之外,美國環保署簡化生質燃料評估和替代燃料基礎設施稅額扣抵等舉措也在推動市場成長。美國對減少溫室氣體排放的重視進一步鞏固了其市場領先地位。
亞太地區和歐洲
亞太地區,尤其是印度和印度尼西亞,正經歷快速成長,這得益於嚴格的混合燃料法規和政府對生質燃料生產的支持。印尼對生質柴油的重視以及印度的乙醇混合目標是關鍵促進因素。歐洲也是一個重要的市場,歐洲投資計畫和創新基金等措施支持生質燃料的發展。該地區對永續航空燃料 (SAF) 和可再生柴油的關注與脫碳目標一致,推動了市場需求。
受清潔燃料需求、嚴格的脫硫法規以及政府支持的推動,生質燃料市場正呈現強勁成長動能。美國憑藉強勁的生產和政策支持引領市場,而亞太地區和歐洲則憑藉燃料混合法規和永續燃料計劃做出了貢獻。歐洲和伊朗新建生質燃料設施等關鍵進展凸顯了該產業對創新和擴充性的重視。隨著全球能源轉型加速,生質燃料市場已準備好持續擴張,協助其在預測期內實現環境和經濟目標。
本報告的主要優點
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產業與市場洞察、商業機會評估、產品需求預測、打入市場策略、地理擴張、資本投資決策、法律規範與影響、新產品開發、競爭影響
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The global biofuel market is expected to grow from USD 224.700 billion in 2025 to USD 318.719 billion in 2030, at a CAGR of 7.24%.
The global biofuel market is poised for significant growth, driven by the increasing demand for cleaner energy, stringent government regulations on desulfurization, and supportive financial incentives. Biofuels, including ethanol and biodiesel, are gaining traction as sustainable alternatives to fossil fuels, reducing particulate matter by 10% and carbon monoxide by 11% compared to diesel, according to Environmental Protection Agency assessments. The market is propelled by global mandates for renewable energy adoption and the depletion of fossil fuel reserves, encouraging a shift toward biofuels.
Market Drivers
Demand for Cleaner Fuels and Desulfurization Regulations
The need for cleaner energy sources and tightening government regulations on desulfurization of petroleum products are major drivers of the biofuel market. Biofuels significantly reduce air pollution, aligning with global efforts to combat climate change and meet environmental standards. Governments worldwide are implementing policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, promoting biofuels as a viable alternative to fossil fuels. These regulations, coupled with consumer demand for sustainable energy, are driving market growth by encouraging the adoption of biofuels in transportation and energy sectors.
Financial Incentives and Government Support
Supportive government initiatives and financial incentives are accelerating biofuel market expansion. For instance, in the United States, the Department of Energy introduced a 30% Alternative Fuel Infrastructure Tax Credit in December 2022 for fueling infrastructure using biofuels like E85 and diesel blends with at least 20% biodiesel. Similarly, Canada's plan to increase carbon taxes from CAD 10 to CAD 50 per ton of emissions starting in April 2022 incentivizes the adoption of biofuels with lower emissions. These policies, along with subsidies and funding programs, enhance the economic viability of biofuel production and infrastructure development.
Global Renewable Energy Mandates
Countries worldwide are setting ambitious renewable energy targets, driving demand for biofuels. For example, India's NITI Aayog report mandates a 20% ethanol blend in petrol by 2025, while Indonesia anticipates a 35% biodiesel blend starting in 2023. These blending requirements, combined with initiatives to reduce import duties on ethanol, as seen in Brazil in 2022, are boosting biofuel consumption. Such policies highlight the global commitment to sustainable energy, positioning biofuels as a critical component of the energy transition.
Geographical Outlook
United States' Market Leadership
The United States is a dominant player in the global biofuel market, driven by its robust production capacity and supportive policies. The U.S. Energy Information Administration projects that renewable diesel production will reach 5.1 billion gallons per year by the end of 2024, supported by ongoing and proposed projects. The transportation and energy sectors' increasing reliance on biofuels, coupled with initiatives like the EPA's streamlined evaluation of biofuels and the Alternative Fuel Infrastructure Tax Credit, are driving market growth. The U.S.'s focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions further solidifies its position as a market leader.
Asia-Pacific and Europe
The Asia-Pacific region, particularly India and Indonesia, is witnessing rapid growth due to strong blending mandates and government support for biofuel production. Indonesia's focus on biodiesel and India's ethanol blending targets are key drivers. Europe is also a significant market, with initiatives like the Investment Plan for Europe and the Innovation Fund supporting biofuel development. The region's emphasis on sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and renewable diesel aligns with decarbonization goals, boosting market demand.
Key Developments
In April 2023, Tecnicas Reunidas secured a contract from Cepsa to provide engineering, procurement, and construction management for a second-generation biofuels facility in southern Europe. The facility, using used cooking oils and agricultural waste, has a flexible capacity of 500,000 tons of SAF and renewable diesel for transportation. In January 2023, Zagros Petrochemical Company and Dalian Petrochemical Company signed a contract to build Iran's first ethanol plant, a methanol-to-synthetic ethanol facility with a 300,000-tonne annual capacity, set to be operational by 2026.
The biofuel market is on a strong growth trajectory, driven by the demand for cleaner fuels, stringent desulfurization regulations, and supportive government incentives. The U.S. leads the market with robust production and policy support, while Asia-Pacific and Europe contribute through blending mandates and sustainable fuel initiatives. Key developments, such as new biofuel facilities in Europe and Iran, highlight the industry's focus on innovation and scalability. As global energy transitions accelerate, the biofuel market is well-positioned for sustained expansion, meeting environmental and economic goals during the forecast period.
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