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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1627691
紫花苜蓿乾草市場:未來預測(2025-2030)Alfalfa Hay Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
紫花苜蓿乾草市場價值預計在 2025 年達到 185.85 億美元,預計到 2030 年將達到 234.23 億美元,複合年成長率為 4.74%。
紫花苜蓿乾草市場的主要驅動力是畜牧業對高品質飼料的需求不斷增加,特別是在酪農和肉類生產領域,紫花苜蓿的高蛋白質和營養含量可支持最佳的動物健康和生產力。世界牲畜數量的增加和人們對高效動物營養的興趣日益濃厚,推動了需求。
如今,全球農業比以往任何時候都更肩負著確保糧食安全的重任。 2009年至2050年間,世界人口預計將增加23億。預計人口成長主要受開發中國家發展的推動,其中撒哈拉以南非洲預計將經歷最快的人口成長率,達到 114%。相較之下,東亞和東南亞預計成長最慢,為13%。此外,預計到2050年,世界人口將居住在都市區,高於目前的49%。
此外,預計2050年的人均收入將比現在高出數倍。聯合國糧食及農業組織(FAO)指出,為了養活2050年91億人口,2005/07年至2050年間糧食總產量需要增加70%左右。
預計肉類、乳製品、魚類和水產產品的需求成長將推動畜牧業的擴張,畜牧業佔開發中國家生產毛額的30%。開發中國家購買力的上升預計將導致其飲食偏好的變化,人們越來越傾向於食用動物性食物,而較少食用植物性主食。
此外,肉類消費總量預計將佔全球成長的82%。在未來十年,以中國和巴西為首的拉丁美洲和加勒比地區以及亞太地區預計將佔據大部分擴張佔有率,超過經合組織國家的成長速度。能力發展、農業改良以及現代化和密集生產技術的加強預計將促進這些國家的成長。
在巴西、中國、印度和獨立國協(CIS)國家,家禽業在某種程度上證實了上述情況。另外值得注意的是,牲畜是全球約一半農場的有機肥料來源,因此可以滿足對有機食品日益成長的需求。
由於肉類出口的增加,預計亞太地區將佔據紫花苜蓿乾草市場的大部分佔有率。例如,據中國國際進口博覽局、國家會展中心(上海)稱,中國將在 2024 年加大力度實現牛肉進口多元化,澳大利亞和俄羅斯等國家擴大希望向中國出售牛肉。商正在獲得核准。中國觀察家認為,這將有助於限制因過度依賴特定市場而導致的市場波動,同時透過更高水準的開放為其他國家提供更多機會。
此外,預計未來幾年原奶產量的增加將對市場成長產生正面影響。例如,根據美國及農業組織(FAO)的數據,過去30年來全球牛奶產量增加了77%以上。從1992年的5.24億噸增加到2022年的9.3億噸。印度是世界上最大的原奶生產國,佔全球產量的22%左右,其次是美國、巴基斯坦、中國和巴西。
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The alfalfa hay market is estimated to be valued at US$18.585 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach US$23.423 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.74%.
A key driver for the alfalfa hay market is the increasing demand for high-quality forage in livestock industries, particularly in dairy and meat production, where alfalfa's high protein and nutrient content support optimal animal health and productivity. Increasing global livestock populations and a growing focus on efficient animal nutrition boost demand.
The global agriculture industry is tasked with ensuring food security more than ever. The world population is expected to grow by 2.3 billion people between 2009 and 2050. Population growth is projected to be primarily driven by developments in developing nations, with sub-Saharan Africa expected to see the fastest growth rate at +114%. In contrast, East and South East Asia are anticipated to experience the slowest growth at +13%. Further, urban areas are estimated to account for 70% of the global population in 2050, up from 49% at present.
Additionally, the per capita income in 2050 is projected to be a multiple of current levels. As the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations noted, feeding a population of 9.1 billion people in 2050 would require raising overall food production by some 70% between 2005/07 and 2050.
The projected growth in demand for meat, dairy, fish, and aquaculture products will drive the expansion of livestock farming, which currently accounts for 30% of agricultural GDP in the developing world. The increased purchasing power in developing nations is expected to result in a change in dietary preferences, which would be increasingly oriented towards animal-source foods and away from staple foods of vegetal origin.
Moreover, of the projected global growth, overall meat consumption is expected to account for 82% of it. The APAC region, led by China and the LACs, with Brazil at the forefront, is projected to account for most of the expansion, surpassing the growth in OECD countries over the next decade. Capacity building, improved agriculture, and increasing integration of modernized and intensive production technologies are expected to catalyze the growth in these countries.
To a certain extent, the poultry sector is a testimony to the aforesaid in Brazil, China, and India, as well as with the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) countries. Further, it should be noted that livestock is a source of organic fertilizer for approximately half of the world's farmers, enabling them to respond to the growing demand for organically produced food products.
The APAC region is poised to hold a substantial share of the alfalfa hay market, owing to the rising meat exports. For instance, according to the China International Import Expo Bureau, National Exhibition and Convention Centre (Shanghai), China has stepped up efforts on diversifying beef imports in 2024, with more exporters in countries such as Australia and Russia being approved to sell beef to China. Chinese observers said that this will help reduce market fluctuations due to over-reliance on any single market while providing more opportunities for other countries through high-level opening-up.
Furthermore, increasing milk production is anticipated to positively influence market growth in the coming years. For instance, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United States (FAO), global milk production has increased by more than 77% in the last three decades. From 524 million tonnes in 1992, it had risen to 930 million tonnes in 2022. India is the world's largest milk-producing country, accounting for around 22% of world production, followed by the United States of America, Pakistan, China, and Brazil.
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