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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1557258
基因改造種子市場 - 2024 年至 2029 年預測Genetically Modified Seeds Market - Forecasts from 2024 to 2029 |
基因改造種子市場預計將以 8.84% 的複合年成長率成長,從 2024 年的 415.13 億美元增至 2029 年的 633.98 億美元。
基因改造種子與在花園中生產不同,是由生物工程師使用現代生物技術在實驗室中創造的,有時稱為「基因工程」。使用重組 DNA 技術,可以選擇單一基因並將其從一個生物體轉移到另一個生物體。基因改造種子可以透過增強植物對殺蟲劑、感染疾病和其他病原體的抵抗力來增強作物保護。基因改造種子收穫速度更快,可以輪作,並且可以承受乾旱、寒冷、高鹽水平和鋁的存在。快速的都市化和農業技術創新,加上對營養食品的高需求,正在推動整體市場的成長。
基因改造種子的使用顯著增加,提高了作物產量。由於動物飼料需求的增加以及來自玉米、大豆、小麥和甘蔗等基因改造能源作物的生質燃料的使用增加等其他因素,預計市場開拓將進一步加速。各國正在投資基改種子,以提高作物的整體生產力。例如,2023年8月,菲律賓核准了BT棉花的商業性繁殖,作物成為繼玉米、水稻和茄子之後第四個核准的基因改造作物。此外,到2022年,全國生物玉米種植面積將達576萬公頃。國家非常重視「植物新育種」技術,並制定了相應的政策。
包括亞太和非洲開發中國家政府正在鼓勵農民使用基因改造種子而不是傳統種子來提高農業產量。同時,不斷增加的研發活動和環保種子的使用也推動了基改種子市場的成長。例如,2022年10月,印度開發的基因改造芥菜種子獲得了政府的環境許可,使該國第一個基因改造作物的商業化成為可能。一種基因改造芥菜作物(俗稱油菜籽)已獲得政府的生產許可。科技部宣布印度將簡化創建基因組編輯植物的規則。
基因改造種子市場細分分析
基因改造種子的很大一部分來自玉米。這是因為隨著玉米廣泛用於乙醇生產和牲畜飼料,對玉米的需求正在增加。美國農業部報告稱,2021年美國玉米種植者產量為151億蒲式耳,比2020年成長7%,創歷史第二高。預計美國玉米產量為 177.0 蒲式耳/英畝,比 2020 年的 171.4 蒲式耳/英畝高 5.6 蒲式耳。糧食收穫面積8,540萬畝,比2020年成長4%。這一成長也是由於 COVID-19 大流行的後遺症。
預計北美將佔據市場的很大一部分。
由於農民對基因改造種子益處的認知不斷提高、該地區政府的持續舉措和嚴格的標準,北美佔據了全球基因改造種子市場的很大一部分。預計在整個預測期內這一數字將會上升。據美國農業部稱,到 2023 年,威斯康辛州 93% 的玉米種植面積是生物技術品種,91% 的大豆種植面積是耐除草劑基改種子。此外,同一資訊來源稱,到 2023 年,美國89% 的棉花種植面積將被基因改造抗蟲種子覆蓋。蓬勃發展的技術創新和新制度、新政策的實施進一步成為區域市場的成長動力。
預計亞太地區的成長在預測期內也將保持強勁。農業生物技術正在印度和中國等開發中國家迅速推廣,以提高作物生產力,以應對鹽分和乾旱等各種環境條件。使用基因改造種子具有許多好處,包括降低農藥散佈成本和提高農業產量,從而推動亞太國家對基因改造種子的需求。基因改造玉米作物的成長預計將為越南、印尼和孟加拉等新興經濟體提供進一步動力。此外,根據不同氣候條件在各種作物中引入的新性狀預計將在預測期內推動市場成長。
The genetically modified seeds market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.84%, reaching US$63.398 billion in 2029 from US$41.513 billion in 2024.
GMO seeds are created in a laboratory by biological engineers using contemporary biotechnology techniques, sometimes known as "genetic engineering," as opposed to being produced in a garden. Individual genes can be chosen and transferred from one organism to another using recombinant DNA techniques, resulting in a genetically modified organism that would not have happened naturally or by conventional crossbreeding techniques. They can raise the degree of crop protection by strengthening plants' resilience to pesticides, infections, and other pathogens, thereby increasing the overall crop yields, which can lower the cost of production. GMO seeds can harvest more quickly, allowing for more crop rotation, and can more easily withstand drought, cold, high salt concentrations, or the presence of aluminium elements. Rapid urbanization and technological innovations in farming, coupled with high demand for nutrition-rich food items, have bolstered the overall market growth.
A large increase in the use of genetically modified seeds has been seen to increase crop output. The market is expected to develop faster due to additional factors such as the rising need for animal feeds and the growing use of biofuels from GMO energy crops like corn, soybeans, wheat, and sugarcane. Various countries are investing in GMO seeds to enhance overall crop productivity. For instance, in August 2023, the Philippines approved BT cotton for commercial propagation, and the crop is the fourth genetically engineered approved after corn, rice, and eggplant. Additionally, in 2022, the country's planted area for biotech corn reached 5,76,000 hectares. The country is emphasizing "New Plant Breeding" Techniques and is drafting policies in that accordance.
Governments of several developing nations, including those in APAC and Africa, are enticing farmers to use genetically modified seeds rather than conventional ones to boost agricultural yields. At the same time, an increase in R&D activities and the use of environment-friendly seeds are also fueling the genetically modified seeds market's growth. For instance, in October 2022, Indian-developed genetically modified mustard seeds received environmental authorization from the government, enabling the commercialization of the country's first GM food crop. The transgenic mustard crop, often known as rapeseed, has received clearance for production by the government. The Science and Technology Ministry announced that India is simplifying rules for creating genome-edited plants, calling the technology promising due to its significant economic potential
Genetically Modified Seeds Market Segment Analysis
A sizable fraction of the genetically modified seeds comes from corn. This is due to the increase in corn demand because corn is widely employed in ethanol production and livestock feed. The US Department of Agriculture reported that American maize farmers produced 15.1 billion bushels in 2021, 7% more than in 2020 and the second-highest amount on record. The expected corn yield in the United States is 177.0 bushels per acre, 5.6 bushels more than the anticipated output of 171.4 bushels per acre for 2020. At 85.4 million acres, the area harvested for grain represents a 4% increase over 2020. This rise is also attributed to the after-effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
North America is anticipated to hold a significant proportion of the market.
Due to increased farmer awareness of the advantages of GMO seeds in this region, followed by government initiatives and strict standards, North America accounts for a sizeable percentage of the global market for GMO seeds. It is anticipated to rise throughout the forecast period. According to the USDA, in 2023, 93% of Wisconsin's corn planted was of a biotech variety, and 91% of the soybean acres were herbicide-resistant genetically modified seed. Furthermore, the same sources stated that in 2023, 89% of the US cotton acres were planted with genetically engineered insect-resistant seeds. The booming technological innovation and implementation of new schemes and policies are further acting as a driving factor for regional market growth.
Over the forecast period, growth in Asia Pacific is also anticipated to be strong. In developing nations like India and China, biotechnology in agriculture is expanding quickly to increase crop productivity in the face of varying environmental circumstances like salt and drought. The use of genetic seeds is associated with many benefits, including reduced pesticide application costs and increased agricultural yields, increasing the demand for genetically modified seeds throughout Asia Pacific countries. The growth of GM corn crops is expected to provide additional impetus to emerging countries, such as Vietnam, Indonesia, and Bangladesh, among others. Moreover, the new traits launched in different crops per varied climatic situations are anticipated to propel market growth during the forecast period.