美國養老院市場規模、佔有率和趨勢分析報告：按年齡、地區和細分市場預測，2025 年至 2033 年

美國養老院市場摘要

預計 2024 年美國養老院市值將達到 443.8 億美元，到 2033 年將達到 935.4 億美元，2025 年至 2033 年的複合年成長率為 8.69%。

這一成長主要得益於預期壽命的延長和嬰兒潮一代的崛起，這推動了對養老設施 (ALF) 的需求。此外，尋求陪伴、安慰和日常活動協助的老年人口不斷成長，以及患有神經系統疾病和其他慢性疾病的患者數量不斷增加，預計將推動市場成長。根據美國國家人口問題研究所 2024 年 1 月發布的數據，預計到 2060 年，65 歲及以上美國的數量將從 2018 年的 5,200 萬增至 9,500 萬人。就佔比而言，65 歲及以上年齡層預計將從 2018 年的 16% 增加到 2060 年的 23%。

對輔助生活設施（ALF）的需求增加：

隨著美國老年人口的不斷成長，對輔助生活設施 (ALF) 的需求也日益迫切。根據 RubyHome 2023 年 9 月發表的一篇報導，大約有 120 萬美國居住在養老院，全美共有超過 15,000 家養老院。此外，由於一半的養老院住戶年齡在 85 歲或以上，因此有超過 30,000 個社區主要為老年人提供服務。這些安排對財務的影響是巨大的，帶有輔助生活設施的付費養老院每月平均費用為 4,500 美元。同時，私人養老院房間每月費用約為 9,034 美元，幾乎是生活輔助費用的兩倍。加州、佛羅裡達州和華盛頓州在生活輔助社區方面領先全國，分別有 5,900 個、2,400 個和 2,000 個。此外，根據消費者聯合有限責任公司的數據，美國十分之七的人在其一生中都需要輔助生活設施。

ALF 居民數量不斷增加

ALF 居民數量的增加表明對這些服務的需求不斷成長。這一趨勢凸顯了美國各地對高品質輔助生活設施的需求。隨著需求的持續成長，服務提供者必須不斷發展，以滿足老齡化人口不斷變化的需求。輔助生活設施集中在都市區有幾個原因。都市區密度較高，可以提供較大的潛在居民群。此外，靠近醫療服務、社會福利設施和交通樞紐也使都市區環境對這些設施具有吸引力。都市區市場受益於各種便利設施和服務，使設施能夠提供多種活動、餐飲選擇和休閒機會，以滿足不同類型的居住者。

目錄

第1章調查方法與範圍

第2章執行摘要

第3章市場變數、趨勢和範圍

• 市場譜系
  • 母市場分析
  • 輔助市場分析
• 美國養老院市場 - 市場動態
  • 市場促進因素分析
  • 市場限制因素分析
  • 市場機會分析
  • 市場問題分析
• COVID-19影響分析
• 監管和報銷情況
• 商業環境工具分析：美國養老院市場
  • 波特五力分析
  • PESTLE分析

第4章：美國養老院市場：年齡估算與趨勢分析

• 美國養老院市場（按年齡層）：關鍵要點
• 美國養老院市場：2024 年和 2033 年年齡趨勢和市場佔有率分析
• 超過85年
• 75至84歲
• 65至74歲
• 65歲以下

第5章美國養老院市場：區域估計和趨勢分析

• 美國養老院市場（按地區）主要特點
• 美國養老院市場：2024 年和 2033 年區域趨勢和市場佔有率分析
• 西方
• 南
• 中西部
• 東北

第6章 競爭態勢

• 公司分類
• 企業市場分析
• 戰略地圖
• 公司簡介
  • Kindred Healthcare
  • Brookdale Senior Living Solutions
  • Sunrise Senior Living
  • Sonida Senior Living
  • Atria Senior Living, Inc
  • Five Star Senior Living（AlerisLife）
  • Merrill Gardens
  • Centers for Dialysis Care
  • Integral Senior Living（ISL）
  • Belmont Village, LP

U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market Summary

The U.S. assisted living facility market size was estimated at USD 44.38 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 93.54 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 8.69% from 2025 to 2033. This growth is driven by the increasing life expectancy and the baby boomer generation contributing to the demand for assisted living facilities (ALFs). Moreover, the growing geriatric population seeking companionship, security, & assistance with daily activities and patients suffering from neurological & other chronic disorders are expected to drive the market growth. As per the data published by the Population Reference Bureau in January 2024, the number of Americans aged 65 and above is projected to reach 95 million by 2060, increasing from 52 million in 2018. By percentage, the age group of 65 years and above is expected to increase from 16% in 2018 to 23% by 2060.

Rise in Demand for Assisted Living Facilities (ALF):

As the U.S. population of seniors continues to grow, the demand for ALFs is becoming increasingly pressing. According to the RubyHome article published in September 2023, approximately 1.2 million Americans reside in nursing homes, with over 15,000 nursing facilities nationwide. In addition, more than 30,000 communities cater primarily to older adults, as half of all facility residents are 85 or older. The financial implications of these arrangements are significant, with the median monthly cost for assisted living averaging USD 4,500. In contrast, a private room in a nursing home can cost around USD 9,034/month, nearly double the assisted living rate. Notably, California, Florida, and Washington lead the nation in assisted living communities, with 5,900, 2,400, and 2,000, respectively. Moreover, according to Consumers Unified, LLC, seven out of ten individuals in the U.S. require assisted living care in their lifetime.

The Growing Number of Residents in ALF:

The growing number of residents in ALFs indicates an increasing demand for these services. This trend highlights the need for high-quality assisted living facilities across the country. As this demand continues to rise, providers must evolve to address the changing needs of the aging population. The urban areas have a greater concentration of assisted living facilities for several reasons. The higher population density in cities results in a larger pool of potential residents. Moreover, the proximity to healthcare services, social amenities, and transportation makes urban settings appealing for these facilities. The market in urban areas benefits from various amenities and services, allowing facilities to offer multiple activities, dining choices, and recreational opportunities that cater to diverse residents.

U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market Report Segmentation

This report forecasts revenue growth at the country level and provides an analysis of the latest industry trends in each of the sub-segments from 2021 to 2033 For this study, Grand View Research has segmented the U.S. assisted living facility market report based on age, and region:

• Age Outlook (Revenue, USD Billion, 2021 - 2033)
• More than 85
• 75-84
• 65-74
• Less than 65
• Regional Outlook (Revenue, USD Billion, 2021 - 2033)
• West
• Southeast
• Southwest
• Midwest
• Northeast

Table of Contents

Chapter 1. Methodology and Scope

• 1.1. Market Segmentation & Scope
• 1.2. Market Definitions
• 1.3. Information Procurement
  • 1.3.1. Purchased Database
  • 1.3.2. GVR's Internal Database
  • 1.3.3. Secondary Sources & Third-Party Perspectives
  • 1.3.4. Primary Research
  • 1.3.5. Details of Primary Research
• 1.4. Information Analysis
  • 1.4.1. Data Analysis Models
• 1.5. Market Formulation & Data Visualization
  • 1.5.1. Commodity Flow Analysis
• 1.6. Data Validation & Publishing
• 1.7. List of Secondary Sources
• 1.8. Research Objectives

Chapter 2. Executive Summary

• 2.1. Market Snapshot
• 2.2. Segmental Snapshot
• 2.3. Competitive Insights Snapshot

Chapter 3. Market Variables, Trends, and Scope

• 3.1. Market Lineage
  • 3.1.1. Parent Market Analysis
  • 3.1.2. Ancillary Market Analysis
• 3.2. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market- Market Dynamics
  • 3.2.1. Market Driver Analysis
    • 3.2.1.1. Growing geriatric population
    • 3.2.1.2. Rise in demand for assisted living facilities
    • 3.2.1.3. Growing prevalence of target diseases
    • 3.2.1.4. Growing investments and franchises of assisted living facilities and adult day care facilities
    • 3.2.1.5. Technological advancements
  • 3.2.2. Market Restraint Analysis
    • 3.2.2.1. High cost for specialized treatment and services
    • 3.2.2.2. Limited coverage
  • 3.2.3. Market Opportunity Analysis
    • 3.2.3.1. Enhancements in features and services offered by assisted living facilities
  • 3.2.4. Market Challenges Analysis
    • 3.2.4.1. Staffing and workforce concerns
    • 3.2.4.2. Evolving regulations and compliance
• 3.3. COVID-19 Impact Analysis
• 3.4. Regulatory & Reimbursement Scenario
• 3.5. Business Environmental Tools Analysis: U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market
  • 3.5.1. Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 3.5.2. PESTLE Analysis

Chapter 4. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market: Age Estimates & Trend Analysis

• 4.1. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market, By Age: Key Takeaways
• 4.2. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market: Age Movement & Market Share Analysis, 2024 & 2033
• 4.3. More Than 85 Years
  • 4.3.1. More Than 85 Years Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• 4.4. 75 To 84 Years
  • 4.4.1. 75 To 84 Years Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• 4.5. 65 To 74 Years
  • 4.5.1. 65 To 74 Years Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• 4.6. Less Than 65 Years
  • 4.6.1. Less Than 65 Years Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)

Chapter 5. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market: Regional Estimates & Trend Analysis

• 5.1. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market, By Regional: Key Takeaways
• 5.2. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market: Regional Movement & Market Share Analysis, 2024 & 2033
• 5.3. West
  • 5.3.1. West Assisted Living Facility Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• 5.4. South
  • 5.4.1. South Assisted Living Facility Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• 5.5. Midwest
  • 5.5.1. Midwest Assisted Living Facility Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• 5.6. Northeast
  • 5.6.1. Northeast Assisted Living Facility Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)

Chapter 6. Competitive Landscape

• 6.1. Company Categorization
• 6.2. Company Market Position Analysis
• 6.3. Strategy Mapping
• 6.4. Company Profiles
  • 6.4.1. Kindred Healthcare
    • 6.4.1.1. Overview
    • 6.4.1.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.1.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.1.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.2. Brookdale Senior Living Solutions
    • 6.4.2.1. Overview
    • 6.4.2.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.2.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.2.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.3. Sunrise Senior Living
    • 6.4.3.1. Overview
    • 6.4.3.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.3.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.3.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.4. Sonida Senior Living
    • 6.4.4.1. Overview
    • 6.4.4.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.4.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.4.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.5. Atria Senior Living, Inc
    • 6.4.5.1. Overview
    • 6.4.5.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.5.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.5.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.6. Five Star Senior Living (AlerisLife)
    • 6.4.6.1. Overview
    • 6.4.6.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.6.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.6.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.7. Merrill Gardens
    • 6.4.7.1. Overview
    • 6.4.7.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.7.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.7.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.8. Centers for Dialysis Care
    • 6.4.8.1. Overview
    • 6.4.8.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.8.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.8.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.9. Integral Senior Living (ISL)
    • 6.4.9.1. Overview
    • 6.4.9.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.9.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.9.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.10. Belmont Village, L.P.
    • 6.4.10.1. Overview
    • 6.4.10.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.10.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.10.4. Strategic Initiatives

List of Tables

• Table 1 List of secondary sources
• Table 2 List of abbreviation
• Table 3 Costs of assisted living facility for special services in key states
• Table 4 U.S. Assisted Living Facility market revenue estimates and forecast, by age, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Table 5 U.S. assisted living facility market revenue estimates and forecast, by regional, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)

List of Figures

• Fig. 1 U.S. assisted living facility segmentation
• Fig. 2 Market research process
• Fig. 3 Data triangulation techniques
• Fig. 4 Primary research pattern
• Fig. 5 Market research approaches
• Fig. 6 Value chain-based sizing & forecasting
• Fig. 7 QFD modeling for market share assessment
• Fig. 8 Market formulation & validation
• Fig. 9 Market snapshot
• Fig. 10 Market segmentation
• Fig. 11 Competitive landscape
• Fig. 12 Parent market outlook
• Fig. 13 Ancillary market outlook
• Fig. 14 U.S. assisted living facility market dynamics
• Fig. 15 U.S. assisted living facility market: Age movement share analysis
• Fig. 16 U.S. assisted living facility market: Age segment dashboard
• Fig. 17 More than 85 years market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 18 75 to 84 years market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 19 65 to 74 years market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 20 Less than 65 years market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 21 U.S. assisted living facility regional market share analysis
• Fig. 22 U.S. assisted living facility region market: Segment dashboard
• Fig. 23 West assisted living facility market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 24 South assisted living facility market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 25 Midwest assisted living facility market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 26 Northeast assisted living facility market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 27 Company/competition categorization
• Fig. 28 Company market position analysis
• Fig. 29 Strategy mapping