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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1446868
全球氨裂解催化劑市場Global Ammonia Cracking Catalysts Market |
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概述
2022年全球氨裂解催化劑市場規模達680萬美元,預計到2030年將達到1.366億美元,2023-2030年預測期間CAGR為45.5%。
對商業和工業冷卻解決方案不斷成長的需求,特別是在快速工業化國家,將推動預測期內對氨裂解催化劑的需求。氨是現代工業製冷系統最常用的冷媒之一。
全球氨裂解催化劑市場的長期成長潛力因大多數氨生產廠的商業獲利能力下降而受到阻礙。鑑於大多數新規劃項目不可行,新投產的合成氨產能極少。如果不解決產業內部的獲利危機,市場就不可能實現穩定的長期成長。
動力學
擴大採用氫作為燃料來源
儘管過去幾年全球出現了脫碳趨勢,但化石燃料仍然是主要能源。然而,隨著太陽能、風能等完全綠色能源的發展以及交通電氣化的發展,對中間燃料源的需求也隨之增加。因此,各國政府越來越傾向於利用氫氣作為車輛和能源生產的燃料來源。
國際能源機構 (IEA) 估計,到 2022 年,全球氫需求將增加至 9,400 萬噸,為了跟上不斷成長的需求,到 2050 年,新的生產和儲存系統需要近 1.2 兆美元的投資。隨著技術的進步,氨仍然是大規模生產氫氣的唯一商業上可行的方法。
日益重視糧食安全
全球人口的快速成長使改善糧食安全的需求成為人們關注的焦點,特別是在人口成長最快的發展中國家和不已開發國家。聯合國估計,2022年全球人口約80億,自2010年以來增加了近10億。全球農業部門也面臨極端天氣事件增加、沙漠化等挑戰。
全球氨產量的 70% 以上用於製造溶液或鹽形式的化學肥料。儘管趨勢更強調有機農業,但化肥仍然是無需資本密集方法即可大幅提高農業生產的最經濟方法。
商業催化劑生產成本高
儘管對氫氣的需求不斷成長,但市場成長可能會受到各種特殊催化劑商業生產的高成本的限制。鎳(Ni)基催化劑正逐漸被廢棄,主要是由於其成本高且容易積碳。鐵 (Fe) 基催化劑由於其使用壽命長而越來越受到青睞。
然而,鐵(Fe)基催化劑的大規模採用仍受到產量有限的限制。在新產能投產之前,鐵基催化劑仍將是氨商業化生產氫氣和氮氣的首選。
Overview
Global Ammonia Cracking Catalysts Market reached US$ 6.8 million in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 136.6 million by 2030, growing with a CAGR of 45.5% during the forecast period 2023-2030.
The growing demand for commercial and industrial cooling solutions, especially in rapidly industrializing countries, will propel the demand for ammonia cracking catalysts during the forecast period. Ammonia is one of the most used refrigerants for modern industrial refrigeration systems.
The long term growth potential for the global ammonia cracking catalysts market is hobbled by the declining commercial profitability of most ammonia production plants. Given the unviability of most new planned projects, very few new ammonia production capacity has come online. Without resolving the profitability crisis within the industry, the market is unlikely to have stable long term growth.
Dynamics
Increasing Adoption of Hydrogen as a Fuel Source
Although there has been a global trend towards decarbonization over the past few years, fossil fuels still remain the primary energy sources. However, along with developing completely green energy sources such as solar and wind power as well moving towards electrification of transportation, there has arisen a need for an intermediate fuel source. Therefore, governments are increasingly moving towards the utilization of hydrogen as a fuel source for vehicles and for energy production.
The international energy agency (IEA) estimated that global hydrogen demand increased to 94 million tonnes in 2022 and to keep pace with increasing demand nearly US$ 1.2 trillion of investment is required in new production and storage systems by 2050. Although green hydrogen has been making advances, ammonia remains the only commercially viable method for mass production of hydrogen.
Increasing Emphasis on Food Security
A rapid growth in the global population has sharply put into focus the need for improved food security, especially in developing and underdeveloped nations, where the population growth is the highest. The United Nations (UN) has estimated the global population at around 8.0 billion in 2o22, representing an increase of nearly 1 billion since 2010. The global agricultural sector is also experiencing challenges such as the rise of extreme weather events and desertification.
More than 70% of global ammonia production is used for making chemical fertilizers in the form of solutions or salts. Despite trends placing greater emphasis on organic farming, chemical fertilizers remain the most economical method of vastly improving agricultural production without the need for capital intensive methods.
High Cost of Commercial Catalyst Production
Despite growing demand for hydrogen, the market growth is likely to be constrained by the high cost of commercial production of various special catalysts. Nickel (Ni)-based catalysts are gradually being abandoned, mainly due to their high costs and susceptibility to carbon fouling. Iron (Fe)-based catalysts are being increasingly preferred due to their longevity.
However, the mass adoption of Iron (Fe)-based catalysts is still constrained by limited production. Until new production capacity comes online, Fe-based catalysts will continue to remain the preferred choice for commercial production of hydrogen and nitrogen from ammonia.
The global ammonia cracking catalysts market is segmented based on type, application and region.
Nickel (Ni)-based Catalysts Continue to Account for a Significant Market Share
Although precious metal catalysts such as those derived from ruthenium and cobalt are more effective in cracking ammonia between 350 °C and 500 °C, nickel-based catalysts are mostly preferred since they are more economical, thus making commercial production more feasible. However, research is gradually moving towards developing and commercializing new catalysts.
For instance, a new series of imide-based catalysts are currently under study, which can 400 °C to 550 °C. Imide-based catalysts also behave atypically as compared to other traditional catalysts and scientists hope to utilize it for mass producing hydrogen for fuel cell-based transportation solutions. Over the forecast period, nickel-based catalysts are likely to lose their market share.
With Numerous New Hydrogen Projects, North America Gains Highest Share
North America is forecasted to have the highest share within the global ammonia cracking catalysts market since it has the some of the largest commercial hydrogen production projects currently under construction. It is part of an overarching aim of the U.S. government to ensure long term energy independence. According to the U.S. government's energy information administration (EIA), the country produces more than 10 million tonnes of hydrogen annually.
The U.S. government has increased capital investments in to spur hydrogen production. For instance, in October 2023, the government allocated US$ 7 billion for the development of seven new hydrogen production and storage hubs across the country. The government hopes that capital spending will eventually lead to an increase in private sector investment, thus propelling the growth of hydrogen production.
An unexpected challenge for the global ammonia cracking catalysts market emerged during the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic with a crash in global crude oil prices. As demand from aviation and road transportation sector fell dramatically, it led to a collapse in global crude oil prices. Such a crash temporarily rendered hydrogen uncompetitive, thereby reducing demand for ammonia cracking catalysts.
The economic uncertainty during the course of the pandemic also created many problems for companies looking to enter into hydrogen production. It led to the delay or outright cancellation of various projects. The overall situation has markedly improved in the post-pandemic period and the industry is witnessing a growth in new investments.
The Russia-Ukraine war has led to near irreversible changes to the energy landscape of Europe. Although the short-term volatility in global energy markets caused by the war has eased, it created major disruptions in natural gas supplies to Europe. European nations have used the crisis to sever their dependence on Russian energy imports.
Such a policy will have major future implications for the ammonia cracking catalyst market. Many countries in the European Union (EU) are racing to build new hydrogen production and storage infrastructure. In Russia, western sanctions have led to an exodus of capital and technology in the sector, drastically reducing demand for ammonia cracking catalysts.
The major global players in the market include Johnson Matthey, Clariant, Heraeus Group, Dorf Ketal, Acta S.p.A, Topsoe, Casale SA, UNICAT Catalyst Technologies, Granus LLC and Shandong Avant New Material Technology Co., Ltd.
The global ammonia cracking catalysts market report would provide approximately 50 tables, 43 figures and 181 Pages.
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