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市場調查報告書
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1905021

全球 HCFO-1233zd 市場:按產品類型、應用、終端用戶產業和地區劃分 - 市場規模、產業趨勢、機會分析和預測(2026-2035 年)

Global HCFO-1233zd Market: By Product Form, Application, End user industry, Region - Market Size, Industry Dynamics, Opportunity Analysis and Forecast for 2026-2035

出版日期: | 出版商: Astute Analytica | 英文 186 Pages | 商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內

價格
簡介目錄

隨著 HCFO-1233zd 的應用日益廣泛以及監管壓力不斷增加,該市場正步入關鍵的成熟階段。預計到 2025 年,其市場收入將達到約 3,818 萬美元,這得益於該分子不斷擴大的應用範圍以及在各行業中日益增長的認可度,從而奠定了堅實的基礎。展望未來,預計該市場將經歷顯著成長,到 2035 年估值將達到 7,134 萬美元。這項預計成長在 2026 年至 2035 年的預測期內將維持 6.4% 的強勁複合年增長率 (CAGR),展現出穩定且持續的成長動能。

推動這一成長的關鍵因素是全球日益嚴格的法規,這些法規正積極逐步淘汰高全球暖化潛勢 (GWP) 的冷媒和發泡劑。各國政府和環境保護機構正日益限製或禁止使用傳統的高 GWP 氟化冷媒 (HFC),迫使各行業轉向更永續的替代品,例如 HCFO-1233zd。該分子具有低 GWP 值,同時兼具卓越的安全性和性能,使其成為發泡劑和冷媒等關鍵應用領域的理想替代品。

市場趨勢

全球HCFO-1233zd的生產幾乎完全由少數幾家大型製造商主導,這些製造商被稱為“四大巨頭”,它們合計佔了全球85%以上的產能。這種寡占凸顯了該先進化學品生產所需的高額資本投資、專業技術以及監管合規要求所帶來的市場進入門檻。在這些主要生產商中,總部位於美國的霍尼韋爾憑藉其成熟的 "Solstice®zd" 品牌,成為無可爭議的市場領導者。

僅次於霍尼韋爾的是法國化工企業阿科瑪,該公司在鞏固其HCFO-1233zd市場地位方面取得了顯著進展。 2025年8月,阿科瑪在肯塔基州卡爾弗特市開設了一家大型生產工廠,從根本上改變了其北美供應結構。這座年產能達 15,000 噸的新工廠,專門瞄準不斷增長的北美泡沫市場,以滿足絕緣材料及其他應用領域對可持續發泡劑日益增長的需求。

成長核心驅動因子

HCFO-1233zd 市場正經歷強勁成長,這主要得益於其多功能性和環保特性。這些特性使其成為傳統氫氟碳化合物 (HFC) 的首選替代品,而 HFC 在多個行業中具有較高的全球暖化潛值 (GWP)。 HCFO-1233zd 是一種不可燃、低 GWP 的噴塗劑和冷媒(GWP 僅為 1),為滿足日益嚴格的旨在減少溫室氣體排放的環境法規提供了有效的解決方案。它能夠在不影響性能的前提下取代傳統的高 GWP HFC,這正在加速其應用,尤其是在尋求永續、合規替代品的行業中。

新興機會

HCFO-1233zd 的市場應用遠不止於傳統的冷卻系統,它正逐漸成為 "工業熱電化" 這一更廣泛趨勢的核心要素。這一轉變反映了工業熱能管理的根本性變革,強調永續性、能源效率以及減少對化石燃料的依賴。這項變革的核心在於高溫熱泵 (HTHP) 的應用,而 HCFO-1233zd 在這一技術領域中發揮著尤為重要的作用。與許多替代冷媒不同,HCFO-1233zd 具備回收廢熱和產生高達 165°C 蒸汽所需的必要熱性能,使其成為眾多工業流程的必備材料。

優化障礙

由於需要投入大量研發和生產資金以符合不斷變化的化學品安全和排放法規,HCFO-1233zd 市場可能面臨成長瓶頸。隨著全球環境標準日益嚴格,製造商必須投入大量資源開發新配方並優化生產工藝,以滿足這些嚴格的要求。這包括進行廣泛的測試,以確保冷媒在保持性能和效率的同時,符合安全規程和排放限值。這個開發過程的複雜性和成本可能構成重大障礙,尤其對於那些希望擴大生產規模或推出 HCFO-1233zd 創新衍生產品的公司而言更是如此。

目錄

第一章:研究架構

  • 研究目標
  • 產品概述
    • 市場區隔
    • 市場及細分定義
  • 研究方法
    • 主要和次要來源列表
    • 市場規模估算

第二章:摘要整理:全球及東南亞HCFO-1233zd市場

第三章:全球及東南亞HCFO-1233zd市場概況

  • 產業價值鏈分析
    • 配方
    • 加工與包裝
    • 經銷商
    • 最終產品用戶
  • 行業展望
    • HCFO-1233zd 製造工藝
    • HCFO-1233zd(E) 的特性
    • HCFO-1233zd(E) 冷卻系統獲得的環保獎項
  • PESTLE 分析
  • 波特五力分析
    • 供應商議價能力
    • 買方議價能力
    • 替代品威脅
    • 新進入者威脅
    • 競爭強度
  • 市場動態與趨勢
    • 主要趨勢
    • 成長驅動因素
    • 限制因素/挑戰
  • 市場成長與展望
    • 市場收入估計與預測(2020-2035)
    • 市場估算與預測(噸),2020-2035
    • 價格分析
  • 新冠疫情對市場成長趨勢的影響評估
    • 成長趨勢變化分析
    • 產業最佳實踐
  • 監理環境

第四章 競爭格局概覽

  • 市場集中度
  • 公司佔有率分析(價值,2025)
  • 競爭格局圖

第五章 HCFO-1233zd 產品形式市場分析

  • 主要發現
  • 市場規模與預測2020-2035
    • 順式-1-氯-3,3,3-三氟丙烯 (HCFO-1233zd-Z)
    • 反式-1-氯-3,3,3-三氟丙烯 (HCFO-1233zd-E)

第六章:HCFO-1233zd 市場分析(依最終用途產業劃分)

  • 主要發現
  • 市場規模及預測(2020-2035)
    • 清潔劑
    • 脫脂劑
    • 冷媒
    • 離心式冰水機組
    • 絕緣泡棉發泡劑
    • 其他

第七章:HCFO-1233zd 市場分析依最終用途產業劃分

  • 主要發現
  • 市場規模及預測,2020-2035 年
    • 食品飲料
    • 機械
    • 建築
    • 電氣電子
    • 暖通空調 (HVAC)
    • 其他

第八章 HCFO-1233zd 市場區域分析

  • 主要見解
  • 市場規模及預測,2020-2035 年
    • 北美
    • 歐洲
    • 亞太地區
    • 中東和非洲
    • 南美

第九章:北美 HCFO-1233zd 市場分析

第十章:歐洲 HCFO-1233zd 市場分析

第十一章:亞太地區 HCFO-1233zd 市場分析

第十二章:東南亞 (SEA) HCFO-1233zd 市場分析

第十三章:中東與非洲 HCFO-1233zd 市場分析

第十四章:南美洲 HCFO-1233zd 市場分析

第十五章:公司簡介(公司概況、財務矩陣、主要產品線、主要參與者、主要競爭對手、聯絡資訊和業務策略展望)

  • 阿科瑪公司 (Arkema S.A.)
  • 北京裕基科技有限公司 (Beijing Yuji Science & Technology)有限公司
  • 中央玻璃有限公司
  • 科慕公司
  • 丹佛斯
  • GAB 諾伊曼
  • 霍尼韋爾國際
  • Kirloskar Chillers 私人有限公司
  • 納文氟
  • 索爾維
  • 其他主要參與者
簡介目錄
Product Code: AA0821091

The HCFO-1233zd market is undergoing a significant phase of maturation, reflecting both its growing adoption and the increasing regulatory pressures shaping its trajectory. In 2025, the market generated revenue of approximately US$ 38.18 million, demonstrating a solid foundation built on the molecule's expanding applications and acceptance across various industries. Looking forward, the market is poised for substantial growth, with projections estimating its valuation to reach US$ 71.34 million by 2035. This anticipated expansion corresponds to a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.4% during the forecast period from 2026 to 2035, signaling steady and sustained momentum.

The primary catalyst driving this growth is the tightening of regulatory mandates worldwide, which are aggressively phasing out refrigerants and blowing agents with high global warming potential (GWP). Governments and environmental agencies are increasingly enforcing policies that restrict or ban the use of legacy high-GWP hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), compelling industries to transition toward more sustainable alternatives like HCFO-1233zd. This molecule's low GWP, combined with its favorable safety and performance characteristics, makes it an attractive replacement in key applications such as foam blowing and refrigeration.

Noteworthy Market Developments

The global production landscape for HCFO-1233zd is overwhelmingly controlled by a concentrated group of major players, often referred to as the "Big Four," which collectively command over 85% of the worldwide production capacity. This oligopolistic structure highlights the high barriers to entry in the market, driven by the significant capital investment, specialized technology, and regulatory compliance required to manufacture this advanced chemical. Among these dominant producers, Honeywell, headquartered in the United States, holds the position of the undisputed market leader, primarily through its well-established Solstice(R) zd brand.

Following closely behind Honeywell is Arkema, a French chemical company that has made significant strides to strengthen its position in the HCFO-1233zd market. In August 2025, Arkema fundamentally shifted the supply dynamics in North America by commissioning a large-scale production facility in Calvert City, Kentucky. This new plant, with a capacity of 15,000 tons per year, specifically targets the growing North American foam market, addressing the increasing demand for sustainable blowing agents in insulation and other applications.

Core Growth Drivers

The HCFO-1233zd market is experiencing robust growth driven by its versatility and environmentally favorable properties, which have positioned it as a preferred alternative to traditional high-global-warming-potential (GWP) hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) across multiple sectors. As a nonflammable and low-GWP blowing agent and refrigerant-with a GWP value of just 1-HCFO-1233zd offers an effective solution that aligns with increasingly stringent environmental regulations aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Its ability to replace legacy high-GWP HFCs without compromising performance has accelerated its adoption, particularly in industries seeking sustainable and compliant alternatives.

Emerging Opportunity Trends

The HCFO-1233zd market is evolving far beyond its traditional applications in cooling systems to emerge as a central component in the broader trend of "Industrial Heat Electrification." This transformation reflects a fundamental shift in how industries approach thermal energy management, with a growing emphasis on sustainability, energy efficiency, and reducing reliance on fossil fuels. At the heart of this change is the deployment of High-Temperature Heat Pumps (HTHPs), a technology area where HCFO-1233zd plays a uniquely critical role. Unlike many alternative refrigerants, HCFO-1233zd possesses the thermal properties necessary to recover waste heat and generate steam at temperatures reaching up to 165°C, a capability that is essential for a wide range of industrial processes.

Barriers to Optimization

The HCFO-1233zd market faces potential constraints on its growth due to the substantial investments required for research and development (R&D) and manufacturing to comply with continuously evolving chemical safety and emission regulations. As environmental standards become increasingly rigorous worldwide, manufacturers must allocate significant resources to develop new formulations and optimize production processes that meet these stringent requirements. This includes extensive testing to ensure that the refrigerant adheres to safety protocols and emission limits, all while maintaining performance and efficiency. The complexity and cost of this development process can be a major hurdle, particularly for companies aiming to scale production or introduce innovative variants of HCFO-1233zd.

Detailed Market Segmentation

By Product Form, Trans-1-Chloro-3,3,3-trifluoropropene dominates the HCFO-1233zd market, commanding a remarkable 83.6% share. Its overwhelming preference among manufacturers is largely due to the unique characteristics that make it the industry's "Goldilocks" solution for thermal management-offering an ideal balance of performance, safety, and handling convenience. This particular isomer stands out because it possesses a boiling point of around 19°C, which enables it to exist in a liquid state at relatively moderate temperatures. This physical property significantly simplifies storage, transport, and application processes compared to gaseous refrigerants that require specialized high-pressure containment and handling procedures.

By Application, the insulation foam blowing agents segment currently dominates the HCFO-1233zd market, controlling a significant 51.1% share. This leadership position is primarily driven by the urgent imperative to replace high-global-warming-potential (GWP) legacy agents such as HFC-245fa, which have been widely used in foam insulation but are now being phased out due to environmental concerns. HCFO-1233zd has emerged as a preferred alternative because it offers a compelling combination of superior insulating properties and a much lower environmental impact, aligning well with global regulatory pressures and sustainability goals.

By End-user industry, the food and beverage industry has emerged as the leading end-user of HCFO-1233zd, commanding more than 36% of the market share-a position that extends well beyond the simple need to keep products cold. While refrigeration remains a fundamental aspect of this sector, the true driver behind the widespread adoption of HCFO-1233zd lies in its exceptional performance in high-temperature heat pump applications. These advanced heat pumps are crucial for addressing the unique operational demands of the food and beverage industry, which often requires simultaneous heating and cooling processes within the same facility.

Segment Breakdown

By Product Form

  • Trans-1-Chloro-3,3,3-trifluoropropene (HCFO-1233zd-E)
  • Cis-1-Chloro-3,3,3-trifluoropropene (HCFO-1233zd-Z)

By Application

  • Insulation Foam Blowing Agents
  • Refrigerants
  • Centrifugal Chillers
  • Cleaning agent
  • Degreasing
  • Other

By End-user industry

  • Food or beverage
  • Mechanical
  • Construction
  • Electric and Electronics
  • Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC)
  • Other

By Region

  • North America
  • U.S.
  • Canada
  • Mexico
  • Europe
  • The UK
  • Germany
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Russia
  • Poland
  • Rest of Europe
  • Asia Pacific
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • Australia & New Zealand
  • ASEAN
  • Rest of Asia Pacific
  • Middle East & Africa (MEA)
  • UAE
  • Saudi Arabia
  • South Africa
  • Rest of MEA
  • South America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Rest of South America

Geography Breakdown

  • North America has firmly established itself as the undisputed leader in the HCFO-1233zd market, currently holding an estimated 37% share of the global market. This prominent position is the result of deliberate regulatory actions and industry adoption rather than happenstance. Central to this dominance is the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) AIM Act, which set forth stringent environmental regulations aimed at reducing hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) consumption. By 2024, the AIM Act mandated a 40% reduction in HFC use, which effectively phased out older, high-global-warming-potential agents such as HFC-245fa, particularly in applications like foam blowing.
  • Beyond regulatory influence, the widespread adoption of HCFO-1233zd has been driven by major original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), who have standardized this chemical as the regional benchmark for sustainable and compliant refrigerants. Industry leaders such as Trane and Carrier have fully embraced HCFO-1233zd, particularly in low-pressure centrifugal chillers, which are critical in facilities requiring stringent safety measures. Hospitals and data centers, where non-flammable safety codes are paramount, have seen these chillers become the preferred choice, thanks to the favorable safety and environmental profile of HCFO-1233zd.

Leading Market Participants

  • Arkema S.A.
  • Beijing Yuji Science & Technology Co., Ltd.
  • Central Glass Co., Ltd
  • Chemours Company
  • Danfoss
  • GAB Neumann
  • Honeywell International
  • Navin Fluorine
  • Other Prominent Players

Table of Content

Chapter 1. Research Framework

  • 1.1. Objective
  • 1.2. Product Overview
    • 1.2.1. Market Segmentation
    • 1.2.2. Market & Segment Definitions
  • 1.3. Research Methodology
    • 1.3.1. List of Primary & Secondary Sources
    • 1.3.2. Market Size Estimation
      • 1.3.2.1. Assumption for the Study
      • 1.3.2.2. Data Triangulation

Chapter 2. Executive Summary: Global and Southeast Asia HCFO-1233zd Market

Chapter 3. Global and Southeast Asia HCFO-1233zd Market Overview

  • 3.1. Industry Value Chain Analysis
    • 3.1.1. Formulation
    • 3.1.2. Processing and Packaging
    • 3.1.3. Distributor
    • 3.1.4. End users
  • 3.2. Industry Outlook
    • 3.2.1. Process for Making HCFO-1233zd
    • 3.2.2. Properties of HCFO-1233zd(E)
    • 3.2.3. Environment Awards received by HCFO-1233zd(E) chillers
  • 3.3. PESTLE Analysis
  • 3.4. Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 3.4.1. Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 3.4.2. Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 3.4.3. Threat of Substitutes
    • 3.4.4. Threat of New Entrants
    • 3.4.5. Degree of Competition
  • 3.5. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 3.5.1. Key Trends
    • 3.5.2. Growth Drivers
    • 3.5.3. Restraints/ Challenges
  • 3.6. Market Growth and Outlook
    • 3.6.1. Market Revenue Estimates and Forecast (US$ Mn), 2020-2035
    • 3.6.2. Market Volume Estimates and Forecast (Tons), 2020-2035
    • 3.6.3. Pricing Analysis
  • 3.7. Covid-19 Impact Assessment on Market Growth Trend
    • 3.7.1. Growth Trend Shift Analysis
    • 3.7.2. Industry Best Practices
  • 3.8. Regulatory Landscape

Chapter 4. Competition Dashboard

  • 4.1. Market Concentration Rate
  • 4.2. Company Market Share Analysis (Value %), 2025
  • 4.3. Competitor Mapping

Chapter 5. HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis, By Product Form

  • 5.1. Key Insights
  • 5.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 5.2.1. cis-1-Chloro-3,3,3-trifluoropropene (HCFO-1233zd-Z)
    • 5.2.2. trans-1-Chloro-3,3,3-trifluoropropene (HCFO-1233zd-E)

Chapter 6. HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis, By Application

  • 6.1. Key Insights
  • 6.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 6.2.1. Cleaning agent
    • 6.2.2. Degreasing
    • 6.2.3. Refrigerants
    • 6.2.4. Centrifugal Chillers
    • 6.2.5. Insulation Foam Blowing Agents
    • 6.2.6. Other

Chapter 7. HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis, By End Use Industry

  • 7.1. Key Insights
  • 7.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 7.2.1. Food or beverage
    • 7.2.2. Mechanical
    • 7.2.3. Construction
    • 7.2.4. Electric and Electronics
    • 7.2.5. Heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC)
    • 7.2.6. Other

Chapter 8. HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis, By Region

  • 8.1. Key Insights
  • 8.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 8.2.1. North America
      • 8.2.1.1. The U.S.
      • 8.2.1.2. Canada
      • 8.2.1.3. Mexico
    • 8.2.2. Europe
      • 8.2.2.1. Western Europe
        • 8.2.2.1.1. The UK
        • 8.2.2.1.2. Germany
        • 8.2.2.1.3. France
        • 8.2.2.1.4. Italy
        • 8.2.2.1.5. Spain
        • 8.2.2.1.6. Rest of Western Europe
      • 8.2.2.2. Eastern Europe
        • 8.2.2.2.1. Poland
        • 8.2.2.2.2. Russia
        • 8.2.2.2.3. Rest of Eastern Europe
    • 8.2.3. Asia Pacific
      • 8.2.3.1. China
      • 8.2.3.2. India
      • 8.2.3.3. Japan
      • 8.2.3.4. Australia & New Zealand
      • 8.2.3.5. South East Asia
        • 8.2.3.5.1. Indonesia
        • 8.2.3.5.2. Thailand
        • 8.2.3.5.3. Philippines
        • 8.2.3.5.4. Vietnam
        • 8.2.3.5.5. Singapore
        • 8.2.3.5.6. Rest of SEA
      • 8.2.3.6. Rest of Asia Pacific
    • 8.2.4. Middle East & Africa
      • 8.2.4.1. UAE
      • 8.2.4.2. Saudi Arabia
      • 8.2.4.3. South Africa
      • 8.2.4.4. Rest of MEA
    • 8.2.5. South America
      • 8.2.5.1. Argentina
      • 8.2.5.2. Brazil
      • 8.2.5.3. Rest of South America

Chapter 9. North America HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis

  • 9.1. Key Insights
  • 9.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 9.2.1. By Product form
    • 9.2.2. By Application
    • 9.2.3. By End Use Industry
    • 9.2.4. By Country

Chapter 10. Europe HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis

  • 10.1. Key Insights
  • 10.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 10.2.1. By Product form
    • 10.2.2. By Application
    • 10.2.3. By End Use Industry
    • 10.2.4. By Country

Chapter 11. Asia Pacific HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis

  • 11.1. Key Insights
  • 11.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 11.2.1. By Product form
    • 11.2.2. By Application
    • 11.2.3. By End Use Industry
    • 11.2.4. By Country

Chapter 12. South East Asia (SEA) HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis

  • 12.1. Key Insights
  • 12.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 12.2.1. By Product form
    • 12.2.2. By Application
    • 12.2.3. By End Use Industry
    • 12.2.4. By Country

Chapter 13. Middle East and Africa HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis

  • 13.1. Key Insights
  • 13.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 13.2.1. By Product form
    • 13.2.2. By Application
    • 13.2.3. By End Use Industry
    • 13.2.4. By Country

Chapter 14. South America HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis

  • 14.1. Key Insights
  • 14.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 14.2.1. By Product form
    • 14.2.2. By Application
    • 14.2.3. By End Use Industry
    • 14.2.4. By Country

Chapter 15.Company Profile (Company Overview, Financial Matrix, Key Product landscape, Key Personnel, Key Competitors, Contact Address, and Business Strategy Outlook) *

  • 15.1. Arkema S.A.
  • 15.2. Beijing Yuji Science & Technology Co., Ltd.
  • 15.3. Central Glass Co., Ltd
  • 15.4. Chemours Company
  • 15.5. Danfoss
  • 15.6. GAB Neumann
  • 15.7. Honeywell International
  • 15.8. Kirloskar Chillers Private Ltd.
  • 15.9. Navin Fluorine
  • 15.10. Solvay
  • 15.11. Other prominent Key Players