市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1218812
全球光伏市場:到 2028 年的預測 - 按類型、位置、電網類型、技術、應用和地區分析Solar Photovoltaic Market Forecasts to 2028 - Global Analysis By Type, Installation, Grid Type, Technology, Application, and Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC,全球光伏 (PV) 市場規模將在 2022 年達到 1600 億美元,預計到 2028 年將達到 2400 億美元,預測期內的 CAGR 為 7。預計增長10%。
光伏 (PV) 方法是一種利用陽光發電的簡單、無活動部件的方法。 利用陽光從矽主原子中提取電子以產生電流。 電子通過吸收光能從較高的原子軌道位置射出。
根據國際能源署的數據,到 2021 年,中國每年的光伏電網裝機容量將翻一番。 2021年,該地區光伏並網運行容量為34.5GW。
市場動態
驅動程序
加大對太陽能資源的投入
世界各地的環境法規正在迫使電力生產商轉向更環保的能源。 世界主要國家都在大力發展可再生能源發電,以減少對化石能源發電的依賴。 在可再生能源中,特別是太陽能發電已成為全球性的課題。 因此,即使在預測期內,增加對太陽能資源的投資也正在創造一個有吸引力的機會來發展全球光伏 (PV) 市場。
抑製劑
轉化效率低
與生物質和石油等傳統能源相比,太陽能的轉換效率較低。 此外,由於太陽能電池所用原材料的類型、日照時數和光伏設計等影響光伏系統性能的各種因素增加,預計在預測期內增長將受到抑制。
機會
有利的政府政策和未來的項目
為應對日益增加的二氧化碳排放,世界各國政府正在實施各種可再生能源發展政策。 這些政策加速了光伏產業的全球擴張。 中國光伏產業為全球市場做出了巨大貢獻。 全球光伏市場受到其規則變化的巨大影響。 由於不明確的上網電價政策和削減對太陽能項目的補貼,中國的投資大幅下降。 預計修訂後的 FiT 法規的實施將在預測期內重振市場,促進太陽能項目的發展。 與其他大型太陽能光伏產業一樣,印度也受益於多項政府計劃,以支持該國的電力部門和太陽能光伏裝置的安裝。
威脅
大型陸用電源
公用事業規模的太陽能項目需要大型陸上電源。 許多環境和技術因素會影響這種土地選擇。 使用此類土地安裝光伏系統會對生物多樣性和自然區域產生影響。 大型太陽能發電廠必須考慮許多變量,例如土地、交通網絡、對附近居民區的影響、與電網的距離。 這些制約限制了全球光伏產業的擴張。
COVID-19 的影響
COVID-19 疫情對供應鏈產生了重大影響,但對市場增長影響不大。 光伏及相關技術成本的下降是推動全球光伏市場的主要因素。 規模經濟、提高材料效率和優化製造可能是降低成本的因素。 然而,風力發電和生物能源等其他綠色技術的發展等問題預計將限制市場擴張。
地面安裝部分預計將成為預測期內最大的部分
由於公用事業規模項目的增加、太陽能光伏目標的增加以及太陽能光伏安裝成本的降低,預計地面安裝部分將實現有利增長。 世界各國都在規劃大規模的太陽能發電項目,以實現能源多樣化,減少對化石燃料發電的依賴。 因此,大型太陽能發電項目的安裝正在增加,地面太陽能發電由於上述背景預計將成為預測期內的主流。
預計住宅行業在預測期內的複合年增長率最高
由於較低的初始投資成本和更高效的光伏組件,預計住宅領域在預測期內將以最快的複合年增長率增長。. 然而,在聯邦優惠待遇結束後,安裝量預計會下降,尤其是在住宅領域。 在預測期內,隨著用於發電和低成本供暖的光伏系統的普及,市場有望擴大。
份額最大的地區
在預測期內,亞太地區預計將佔據最大的市場份額。 新興國家是該領域裝機容量最大的市場。 在過去的幾年裡,光伏產業經歷了比該地區任何其他國家都快的爆炸式增長。 JNNSM 旨在通過為其傳播創造政治環境,將印度定位為太陽能領域的全球領導者。 在預測期內,計劃中的光伏項目、有利的政府政策以及光伏組件和相關係統的價格下降等因素有望推動該地區的光伏市場。
複合年增長率最高的地區
預計在預測期內,北美的複合年增長率最高。 北美政府在全國啟動了眾多光伏、太陽能熱和光熱發電項目。 其中之一是位於索諾拉州利伯塔港的 46.8 兆瓦太陽能發電設施。 因此,預計在預測期內對國內光伏系統的需求將增加。 此外,隨著對可再生能源的需求不斷增加,預計電力公司將大幅擴建其設施。 鑑於當前的安裝率,這很可能會發生。 由於針對屋頂安裝太陽能的法規和激勵措施,預計住宅太陽能裝置在預測期內也將增加。
主要發展
2021 年 1 月,荷蘭皇家殼牌 PLC 對 25MW Qabas 太陽能發電廠進行了調試。 該發電廠將位於阿曼北部蘇哈爾自由貿易區內佔地 50 公頃的場地,將由超過 88,000 個太陽能組件組成。 每年可以避免超過 25,000 噸的二氧化碳排放。
2021 年 1 月,Sembcorp Energy India Ltd 宣布贏得印度拉賈斯坦邦一個新的 400 兆瓦太陽能發電項目。 同樣,2021 年 2 月,我們在美國規劃的最大太陽能發電廠三星太陽能中心破土動工。 該太陽能發電廠的容量為 1,013 兆瓦,計劃於 2023 年完工。
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According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Market is accounted for $160 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach $240 billion by 2028 growing at a CAGR of 7% during the forecast period. The solar photovoltaic (PV) method is a simple, non-moving-parts way to generate electricity from sunshine. In order to generate an electric current, electrons from silicon host atoms are taken out by solar light. Electrons are propelled out of their high atomic orbit by absorbing photons, or packets of light energy.
According to IEA, the annual PV grid capacity in 2021 in China doubled as compared to the same in 2021. The region in 2021 had a PV grid operational capacity of 34.5 GW.
Market Dynamics:
Driver:
Growing Investments in Solar Power Resources
Power-generating firms are under pressure to transition to greener and more ecologically friendly energy sources as a result of numerous environmental regulations across the globe. Major nations throughout the world are making great efforts to increase the production of electricity from renewable sources in order to reduce their reliance on fossil energy power generation. One of the main renewable energy sources that can help with many global concerns is solar energy. Therefore, increasing solar energy resource investments are creating appealing opportunities to grow the worldwide solar photovoltaic (PV) market even during course of the forecast period.
Restraint:
Low conversion efficiencies
When when compared to traditional energy sources like biomass and oil, the technique delivers low conversion efficiencies. Additionally, a number of variables, including as the kind of raw materials used to make solar cells, the amount of sunshine available, and solar PV design, have an impact on how well solar PV systems work, which is projected to restrain growth throughout the forecast period.
Opportunity:
Favorable Government Policies and Upcoming Projects
In reaction to the rising carbon emissions, governments all over the world have implemented a variety of policies for the development of renewable energy. The laws have considerably sped up the global expansion of the solar energy industry. China's solar PV industry makes a major contribution to the global market. The global market for solar PV is significantly impacted by changes to its rules. Due to its murky FiT policy and reduced subsidies for solar projects, China suffered a large fall in investment. With the implementation of the modified FiT regulation, the market is likely to pick up speed for the development of solar projects over the projected period. Similar to any other large solar energy industry, India benefits from many government programmes that support the country's utility- and domestic solar PV installations.
Threat:
Large land based power source
Utility-scale solar projects demand a substantial land-based power source. Numerous environmental or technical factors may have an impact on the choice of such land. The biodiversity and natural regions may be impacted by the usage of such land for the installation of solar systems. Large-scale solar-powered power plants must take into account a number of variables, including land, transportation networks, the effects on nearby residential areas, and distance from the electrical grid. The aforementioned constraints limit the expansion of the worldwide solar photovoltaic (PV) industry.
COVID-19 Impact
The COVID-19 epidemic significantly impacted the supply chain and had a very small influence on market growth. The lowering cost of solar PV and related technologies is the main force propelling the global solar PV market. Economies of scale, increased material efficiency, and manufacturing optimization can all be credited with the drop. However, throughout the anticipated period, issues including the development of other green technologies like wind and bio energy are anticipated to restrain market expansion.
The Ground-mounted segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The Ground-mounted segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to increase in utility-scale projects, solar energy targets, and falling solar PV installation costs. Large-scale solar PV projects are being planned by nations all over the world in an effort to diversify their energy sources and lessen their dependency on fossil fuel-based power generation. The increasing installation of large-scale utility solar PV projects is therefore anticipated to make ground-mounted solar PV a dominant segment over the projection period as a result of the considerations mentioned above.
The residential segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The residential segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period, due to lower initial investment costs and increased solar PV module efficiency, the residential sector is anticipated to experience significant development. However, a decline in installations, notably from the residential segment, is anticipated after the expiration of federal incentives. Over the course of the forecast period, the market's expansion is anticipated to be anticipated by the rising popularity of photovoltaic systems due to their use in power generation and low-cost residential building heating.
Region with largest share:
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period. The major markets in the sector with the greatest installed capacities are developing countries. Over the past few years, the solar photovoltaic industry has exploded more quickly than that of any other nation in the region. By establishing the political circumstances for its widespread deployment, JNNSM aims to position India as a global lead in solar energy. During the forecast period, factors including planned solar PV projects, favourable governmental policies, and falling prices for solar PV modules and related systems are anticipated to propel the solar PV market in the area.
Region with highest CAGR:
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period. The government of North America has set up numerous solar, photovoltaic, as well as CSP projects all around the nation. One of these is a 46.8 MW-capacity photovoltaic facility at Puerto Libertad, Sonora. As a result, during the course of the projection period, the requirement for photovoltaic systems in the nation is anticipated to rise. In addition, the utility sector is anticipated to add significant capacity as a result of mounting pressure to achieve renewable energy requirements. On the basis of the present rate of installations, this is probably going to happen. Residential installations are also expected to increase over the projection period as a result of regulations and incentives tailored specifically to solar rooftop PV.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Solar Photovoltaic Market include Tata Power Solar Systems Ltd., Nextera Energy Sources LLC, Risen Energy, Sembcorp Energy India Ltd, Jinko Solar, BrightSource Energy Inc., Royal Dutch Shell PLC, Wuxi Suntech Power Co. Ltd, SunPower Corporation, Hanwha Q-CELLS, JA Solar and Canadian Solar Inc.
Key Developments:
In January 2021, Royal Dutch Shell PLC launched its 25 MW Qabas solar plant. The plant is located on a 50-hectare site within the Sohar Free zone in northern Oman, and consists of over 88,000 solar modules. It helps in avoiding more than 25,000 tons of CO2 emissions annually.
In January 2021, Sembcorp Energy India Ltd announced that it had won a new 400 MW solar power project in the Indian state of Rajasthan. Similarly, in February 2021, construction began on the Samson Solar Energy Center, the largest planned solar energy farm in the United States. The solar farm is expected to have 1,013 MW of generating capacity and is expected to be completed by 2023.
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