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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1850031

混合動力汽車：市場佔有率分析、行業趨勢、統計數據和成長預測（2025-2030 年）

Hybrid Vehicle - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 100 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

混合動力汽車市場預計到 2025 年將達到 2,615.1 億美元，到 2030 年將達到 4,781.9 億美元，複合年成長率為 12.83%。

油電混合車市場-IMG1

在電氣化政策快速推進、電池價格下降以及消費者對沖燃油波動的決心的推動下，所有主要地區的需求仍然保持強勁。汽車製造商將混合動力汽車視為利潤引擎，以支持電池工廠的擴張；政策制定者也正在將混合動力汽車視為加強溫室氣體法規的實用合規工具。隨著日本本土企業鞏固領先地位、中國品牌拓展全球影響力以及西方汽車製造商攜新的多路徑規劃重返市場，競爭日趨激烈。基礎設施缺口、監管趨同以及投資組合風險管理等因素的共同作用，將確保混合動力汽車市場在未來十年保持戰略重要性。

全球混合動力汽車市場趨勢與洞察

更嚴格的全球 CAFE/GHG 標準和零排放要求

美國和歐盟將在2030年左右同步實施全系列車輛的排放上限，這將迫使汽車製造商採用混合動力汽車以避免處罰。美國環保署已設定2032年二氧化碳排放量為每英里85克的目標，而歐7標準引入了電池耐久性規則，該規則強烈支持成熟的混合動力化學技術。汽車製造商正在利用混合動力汽車動力汽車特有的合規靈活性，平穩過渡到純電動，並為超級工廠騰出資本預算。澳洲和中國也擁有類似的政策架構，從而建立了協調一致的監管基礎，這將提振全球混合動力汽車市場。

到 2027 年，PHEV 電池成本平價將達到臨界點

隨著鋰離子電池組價格降至每千瓦時100美元，插電式混合動力汽車與傳統車型之間的成本差距正在縮小。寧德時代2024款Freevoy模組可實現4C充電，純電續航里程超過400公里，從而緩解了一度限制插電式混合動力車需求的矛盾。國際清潔交通委員會的分析師預測，到2030年，電池價格將降至每千瓦時80美元以下，這將支持新的價值提案，加速插電式混合動力汽車的普及，尤其是在中國和歐洲。

都市區車隊實現了與純電動車類似的總擁有成本

車庫充電、低電費以及城市通行費減免，使得純電動貨車和計程車在交通密集的道路上營業成本低於混合動力汽車。交通與環境部門的一項研究發現，在巴黎，中型純電動車的使用壽命比柴油車便宜14%。隨著市政基礎設施的成熟，​​混合動力汽車汽車市場的成長可能會放緩，因為購車者會逐漸放棄混合動力汽車，轉而選擇零廢氣排放的解決方案。

細分分析

到2025年，混合動力電動車將佔據混合動力汽車市場的43.81%，並支撐主流乘用車銷量。即使基礎設施不斷改善，在穩定的成本優勢和久經考驗的可靠性的推動下，需求仍將保持韌性。原始設備製造商將透過改進串並聯架構和縮小內燃機尺寸來最大限度地提高合規積分。相較之下，插電式混合動力汽車的複合年成長率將達到13.82%，隨著消費者逐漸發現純電動通勤的價值，兩者之間的差距正在縮小。預計2027年將實現成本平價，這將推動插電式混合動力車進入更廣泛的價格分佈，從而擴大其用戶群。

隨著能量密度的提升，價格預計將降至2.5萬美元以下，從2028年起，混合動力電動車市場很可能迎來插電式混合動力車挑戰其主導地位的局面。寧德時代的Freevoy電池組可在10分鐘內充滿電，續航里程可達280公里，消除了續航里程焦慮，並支持了該細分市場的快速成長。中國的稅額扣抵和歐洲的實物福利減免等政策激勵措施，正進一步推動插電式混合動力汽車的普及，確保兩種技術的共存，而非快速被取代。

乘用車仍將是混合動力汽車市場的基石，到2024年將佔混合動力汽車銷量的78.04%。歐洲和日本對傳統引擎徵收的高額登記稅將推動買家轉向混合動力汽車，而美國消費者則將青睞省油的跨界車，例如混合動力汽車。市場區隔強調生活方式的最小改變和快速的投資回報，從而保持在全球最大輕型汽車細分市場的滲透率。

隨著宅配、市政和公司車隊尋求經濟高效的脫碳方案，到2030年，輕型商用車的複合年成長率將達到15.23%。大眾的Multivan eHybrid和福特的E-Transit Custom Hybrid展示了原始設備製造商如何根據車隊營運週期客製化電池尺寸、負載容量和充電靈活性。混合動力汽車產業受益於企業ESG目標，這些目標要求在公共充電網路完全覆蓋郊區和鄉村路線之前實現具體的排放目標。

區域分析

受深厚的國內供應鏈、強力的政策支持和強勁的消費者需求推動，亞太地區將在2024年保持41.24%的混合動力汽車市場佔有率。中國插電式混合動力車註冊量在2022年至2024年間年均成長超過80%，將佔據該地區混合動力車銷量的大部分。光是比亞迪一家，到2024年就將出貨近250萬輛混合動力汽車，並已擴建本地電池工廠，以降低其東協出口計畫的成本。日本主機廠將在國內維持量產，加速混合動力汽車向大洋洲的出口，進而強化良性生產循環，保障淨利率。

歐洲是一個快速成長的地區，預計到2030年複合年成長率將達到14.95%。即使純電動車激勵措施有所縮減，該地區的燃油經濟法規、擁塞費和公司車輛稅收減免仍將鼓勵混合動力汽車的普及。到2024年，混合動力汽車將佔義大利新車構成比的40%，法國的充電樁汽車保有量已超過200萬輛。儘管德國和英國的電動車佔有率創歷史新高，但消費者正轉向混合動力汽車，以獲得遠距的便利性。來自波蘭、斯洛伐克和西班牙的供應線將吸引新的電池模組投資，縮短歐洲組裝廠的物流時間，並維持成本下降的趨勢，從而增強混合動力汽車市場。

在北美，到2024年，混合動力汽車的普及率將上升至輕型汽車銷售的12.1%，各州的獎勵各不相同。美國環保署2032年法規帶來的監管確定性將鼓勵皮卡和SUV更廣泛地採用混合動力汽車，而到2024年油價的上漲將增強主流市場的接受度。南美洲、中東和非洲等新興市場正依賴混合動力汽車來克服充電基礎設施瓶頸。政府車隊將試行混合動力公車和巡邏車，以證明其應用的可行性，並為商業化鋪平道路，從而擴大全球混合動力汽車市場。

其他福利：

  • Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
  • 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章 引言

  • 研究假設和市場定義
  • 調查範圍

第2章調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場狀況

  • 市場概況
  • 市場促進因素
    • 更嚴格的全球 CAFE/GHG 標準和零排放要求
    • 2024年起燃料價格波動將加劇
    • 2027 年 PHEV 電池成本將趨於一致
    • OEM多路徑碳策略（ICE+BEV+HEV）
    • 輕型卡車48V架構的標準化（不明顯）
    • 災害多發地區使用獨立於電網的緊急電源的範例（不太明顯的例子）
  • 市場限制
    • 實現都市區純電動車總擁有成本平價
    • 永續開採的鎳和鈷短缺
    • 消費者對續航里程的焦慮偏見直接轉移到了低調的純電動車上
    • 強制回收廢棄鎳氫電池組迫在眉睫（不引人注意）
  • 價值/供應鏈分析
  • 監管格局
  • 技術展望
  • 波特五力模型
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 消費者議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭對手之間的競爭

第5章市場規模和成長預測（價值（美元）和數量（單位））

  • 混合動力汽車型
    • 輕度混合動力
    • 混合動力電動車（HEV）
    • 插電式混合動力車（PHEV）
  • 按車輛類型
    • 搭乘用車
    • 輕型商用車
    • 中型和重型商用車
  • 依馬達類型
    • 永磁同步交流馬達（PMSM）
    • 感應（異步）AC馬達
    • 開關磁阻馬達（SRM）
    • 軸向電機
  • 依電池類型
    • 鎳氫電池
    • 磷酸鋰鐵電池
    • 其他電池
  • 按地區
    • 北美洲
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
      • 其他北美地區
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 南美洲其他地區
    • 歐洲
      • 德國
      • 英國
      • 法國
      • 義大利
      • 挪威
      • 荷蘭
      • 其他歐洲地區
    • 亞太地區
      • 中國
      • 日本
      • 印度
      • 韓國
      • 其他亞太地區
    • 中東和非洲
      • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
      • 沙烏地阿拉伯
      • 南非
      • 土耳其
      • 埃及
      • 其他中東和非洲地區

第6章 競爭態勢

  • 市場集中度
  • 策略趨勢
  • 市佔率分析
  • 公司簡介
    • Toyota Motor Corporation
    • Honda Motor Co., Ltd.
    • Nissan Motor Co., Ltd.
    • Hyundai Motor Company
    • Kia Corporation
    • Ford Motor Company
    • General Motors Company
    • Stellantis NV
    • BMW AG
    • Mercedes-Benz Group AG
    • Volkswagen AG
    • BYD Co., Ltd.
    • SAIC Motor Corporation
    • Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd.
    • Renault SA
    • Volvo Car AB
    • Subaru Corporation
    • Mazda Motor Corporation
    • Mitsubishi Motors Corporation

第7章 市場機會與未來展望

簡介目錄
Product Code: 51856

The hybrid vehicle market size holds a value of USD 261.51 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 478.19 billion by 2030, advancing at 12.83% CAGR.

Hybrid Vehicle - Market - IMG1

Rapid electrification policies, falling battery prices, and consumer determination to hedge against fuel volatility keep demand resilient across every major region. Automakers treat hybrids as profit engines that bankroll the scale-up of battery plants, while policymakers accept them as a practical compliance tool for tougher greenhouse-gas limits. Competitive intensity is escalating as Japanese incumbents fortify their lead, Chinese brands widen global reach, and Western OEMs re-enter the fray with new multi-pathway plans. Infrastructure disparities, regulatory convergence, and portfolio risk management together ensure the hybrid vehicle market remains strategically relevant for the next decade.

Global Hybrid Vehicle Market Trends and Insights

Stricter Global CAFE/GHG Norms & Zero-Emission Mandates

Fleetwide emissions ceilings in the United States and the European Union synchronize around the 2030 horizon, compelling automakers to employ hybrids to avoid penalties. The US Environmental Protection Agency sets targets of 85 g CO2 / mile for 2032, while Euro 7 introduces battery-durability rules that strongly favor mature hybrid chemistries. Automakers exploit the compliance flexibility inherent in hybrids to smooth the transition to full electrification, thereby safeguarding capital budgets earmarked for gigafactories. Similar policy architecture appears in Australia and China, creating a coherent regulatory scaffolding that lifts the global hybrid vehicle market.

Battery Cost-Parity Tipping Point for PHEVs by 2027

Lithium-ion pack prices slide toward USD 100 /kWh, narrowing the cost delta between plug-in hybrids and conventional models. CATL's 2024 Freevoy module delivers 4C charging and over 400 km electric-only range, slashing perceived compromises that once capped PHEV demand. Analysts at the International Council on Clean Transportation expect sub-USD 80 /kWh by 2030, anchoring a renewed value proposition that accelerates PHEV adoption, especially in China and Europe.

BEV Total-Cost-of-Ownership Parity Achieved in Urban Fleets

Depot charging, low electricity tariffs, and city toll exemptions allow battery-electric vans and taxis to undercut hybrid operating costs in dense corridors. Studies by Transport & Environment find medium BEVs 14% cheaper than diesel equivalents on a lifetime basis in Paris. As municipal infrastructure matures, fleet buyers may bypass hybrids in favor of zero-tailpipe solutions, trimming incremental growth in the hybrid vehicle market .

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Soaring Fuel-Price Volatility Post-2024
  2. OEM Multi-Pathway Carbon Strategies
  3. Scarcity of Sustainably Mined Nickel & Cobalt

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Hybrid electric vehicle account for 43.81% of the hybrid vehicle market, anchoring volume for mainstream passenger cars in 2025. Steady cost advantages and proven reliability keep demand resilient even as infrastructure improves. OEMs refine series-parallel architectures and downsize internal-combustion engines to maximize compliance credits. In contrast, plug-in hybrids record a 13.82% CAGR, closing the gap as buyers value electric-only commuting. Cost-parity milestones forecast for 2027 push PHEVs into wider price bands, broadening shopper appeal.

The hybrid electric vehicle market is likely to see plug-in variants challenge hybrid electric vehicle primacy after 2028 as energy-density gains permit sub-USD 25,000 sticker prices. CATL's Freevoy pack allows 10-minute top-ups that unlock 280 km of range, neutralizing range anxiety and underpinning the segment surge. Policy sweeteners such as China's tax credits and Europe's benefit-in-kind relief further tilt fleets toward PHEVs, ensuring technology coexistence rather than rapid displacement.

Passenger cars remain the bedrock of the hybrid vehicle market, controlling 78.04% revenue in 2024. High registration taxes on conventional engines in Europe and Japan funnel buyers into hybrids, while US consumers gravitate to fuel-efficient crossovers such as the hybrid-only 2025 Camry. OEM marketing stresses minimal lifestyle changes and quick payback, sustaining penetration in the world's largest light-vehicle segments.

Light commercial vehicles grow at 15.23% CAGR through 2030 as parcel-delivery, municipal, and trades fleets search for cost-effective decarbonization. Volkswagen's Multivan eHybrid and Ford's E-Transit Custom Hybrid illustrate how OEMs tailor battery size, payload, and charging flexibility for fleet duty cycles. The hybrid vehicle industry benefits from corporate ESG targets that require tangible emissions cuts before public charging networks fully saturate suburban and rural routes.

The Hybrid Vehicle Market Report is Segmented by Propulsion Type (Hybrid Electric Vehicle (HEV), Plug-In Hybrid (PHEV), and More), Vehicle Type (Passenger Cars, Light Commercial Vehicles, and More), Motor Type (Permanent Magnet Synchronous AC Motor (PMSM), Induction AC Motor, and More), Battery Type (Nickel-Metal Hydride, and More), and Geography. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD) and Volume (Units).

Geography Analysis

Asia-Pacific retains 41.24% of the hybrid vehicle market share in 2024 on the back of deep domestic supply chains, powerful policy support, and vibrant consumer demand. China accounts for most regional volume after plug-in hybrid registrations soared more than 80% annually between 2022 and 2024. BYD alone shifted nearly 2.5 million hybrids in 2024, scaling local battery plants that lower costs across ASEAN export programs. Japanese OEMs maintain hefty volumes at home and accelerate hybrid exports to Oceania, reinforcing a virtuous production loop that protects margins.

Europe is the fastest-growing geography with a projected 14.95% CAGR to 2030. The region's fuel-economy penalties, congestion charges, and company-car tax reliefs propel hybrid adoption even as BEV incentives taper. Italy's new-car mix hit 40% hybrids in 2024, and France passed 2 million rechargeable vehicles. Germany and the United Kingdom posted record electric-mobility shares, yet consumers still migrate to hybrids for long-distance convenience. Supply lines from Poland, Slovakia, and Spain attract fresh battery-module investment, shortening logistics for European assembly plants and sustaining downward cost curves that strengthen the hybrid vehicle market.

North America shows divergent provincial and state incentives, but national hybrid penetration climbed to 12.1% of light-vehicle sales in 2024. Regulatory certainty through the EPA's 2032 rule set catalyses broader model coverage across pickups and SUVs, while gasoline price spikes during 2024 cement mainstream acceptance. Emerging markets in South America, the Middle East and Africa rely on hybrids to leapfrog charging-infrastructure bottlenecks. Government fleets pilot hybrid buses and patrol vehicles, demonstrating use-case viability and paving the way for commercial uptake that enlarges the global hybrid vehicle market.

  1. Toyota Motor Corporation
  2. Honda Motor Co., Ltd.
  3. Nissan Motor Co., Ltd.
  4. Hyundai Motor Company
  5. Kia Corporation
  6. Ford Motor Company
  7. General Motors Company
  8. Stellantis N.V.
  9. BMW AG
  10. Mercedes-Benz Group AG
  11. Volkswagen AG
  12. BYD Co., Ltd.
  13. SAIC Motor Corporation
  14. Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd.
  15. Renault S.A.
  16. Volvo Car AB
  17. Subaru Corporation
  18. Mazda Motor Corporation
  19. Mitsubishi Motors Corporation

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Stricter global CAFE/GHG norms & zero-emission mandates
    • 4.2.2 Soaring fuel-price volatility post-2024
    • 4.2.3 Battery cost-parity tipping point for PHEVs by 2027
    • 4.2.4 OEM multi-pathway carbon strategies (ICE + BEV + HEV)
    • 4.2.5 48-V architecture standardisation in light trucks (under-the-radar)
    • 4.2.6 Grid-independent emergency-power use case in disaster-prone regions (under-the-radar)
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 BEV total-cost-of-ownership parity achieved in urban fleets
    • 4.3.2 Scarcity of sustainably mined nickel & cobalt
    • 4.3.3 Consumer range-anxiety bias shifting straight to BEV (under-the-radar)
    • 4.3.4 Looming end-of-life recycling liabilities for NiMH packs (under-the-radar)
  • 4.4 Value / Supply-Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
  • 4.6 Technological Outlook
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts (Value (USD) and Volume (Units))

  • 5.1 By Hybrid Vehicle Type
    • 5.1.1 Mild-Hybrid
    • 5.1.2 Hybrid Electric Vehicle (HEV)
    • 5.1.3 Plug-in Hybrid (PHEV)
  • 5.2 By Vehicle Type
    • 5.2.1 Passenger Cars
    • 5.2.2 Light Commercial Vehicles
    • 5.2.3 Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicles
  • 5.3 By Motor Type
    • 5.3.1 Permanent Magnet Synchronous AC Motor (PMSM)
    • 5.3.2 Induction (Asynchronous) AC Motor
    • 5.3.3 Switched Reluctance Motor (SRM)
    • 5.3.4 Axial-Flux Motor
  • 5.4 By Battery Type
    • 5.4.1 Nickel-Metal Hydride
    • 5.4.2 Lithium-iron Phosphate Battery
    • 5.4.3 Other Battery
  • 5.5 By Geography
    • 5.5.1 North America
      • 5.5.1.1 United States
      • 5.5.1.2 Canada
      • 5.5.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.5.2 South America
      • 5.5.2.1 Brazil
      • 5.5.2.2 Argentina
      • 5.5.2.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.5.3 Europe
      • 5.5.3.1 Germany
      • 5.5.3.2 United Kingdom
      • 5.5.3.3 France
      • 5.5.3.4 Italy
      • 5.5.3.5 Norway
      • 5.5.3.6 Netherlands
      • 5.5.3.7 Rest of Europe
    • 5.5.4 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.5.4.1 China
      • 5.5.4.2 Japan
      • 5.5.4.3 India
      • 5.5.4.4 South Korea
      • 5.5.4.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.5.5 Middle East and Africa
      • 5.5.5.1 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.5.5.2 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.5.5.3 South Africa
      • 5.5.5.4 Turkey
      • 5.5.5.5 Egypt
      • 5.5.5.6 Rest of Middle East and Africa

6 Competitive Landscape

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (Includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as Available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products & Services, Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 Toyota Motor Corporation
    • 6.4.2 Honda Motor Co., Ltd.
    • 6.4.3 Nissan Motor Co., Ltd.
    • 6.4.4 Hyundai Motor Company
    • 6.4.5 Kia Corporation
    • 6.4.6 Ford Motor Company
    • 6.4.7 General Motors Company
    • 6.4.8 Stellantis N.V.
    • 6.4.9 BMW AG
    • 6.4.10 Mercedes-Benz Group AG
    • 6.4.11 Volkswagen AG
    • 6.4.12 BYD Co., Ltd.
    • 6.4.13 SAIC Motor Corporation
    • 6.4.14 Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd.
    • 6.4.15 Renault S.A.
    • 6.4.16 Volvo Car AB
    • 6.4.17 Subaru Corporation
    • 6.4.18 Mazda Motor Corporation
    • 6.4.19 Mitsubishi Motors Corporation

7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook

  • 7.1 White-space & Unmet-Need Assessment